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Ligue 1

Referee: R Buquet

Monaco

T S S U U

7–1

Full-time

Ajaccio

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 39%

56%

22%

Points per game

1,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

56%

44%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

44%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,9

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 5–1

66% Possession 34%

11 Shots 5

8 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 5. · Ajaccio 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	15	2	1	+35	47
2	Lens	19	13	5	1	+19	44
3	Marseille	19	13	3	3	+23	42
4	Rennes	18	10	4	4	+15	34
5	Monaco	18	10	4	4	+10	34
6	Lille	19	10	4	5	+10	34
7	Lorient	19	9	5	5	+2	32
8	Clermont	19	8	4	7	-3	28
9	Lyon	19	7	4	8	+5	25
10	Nice	19	6	7	6	+2	25
11	Reims	19	5	10	4	-2	25
12	Toulouse	19	6	5	8	-5	23
13	Nantes	19	4	9	6	-3	21
14	Troyes	19	4	6	9	-10	18
15	Montpellier	19	5	2	12	-12	17
16	Strasbourg	19	2	9	8	-10	15
17	Ajaccio	18	4	3	11	-12	15
18	Brest	19	3	6	10	-15	15
19	Auxerre	19	3	4	12	-25	13
20	Angers	19	2	2	15	-24	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	10	10	0	0	+15	30
2	Paris SG	9	8	1	0	+15	25
3	Rennes	9	8	0	1	+16	24
4	Marseille	10	7	1	2	+12	22
5	Lille	10	6	2	2	+4	20
6	Lyon	10	5	2	3	+8	17
7	Toulouse	10	4	4	2	+1	16
8	Nantes	9	3	5	1	+3	14
9	Monaco	9	4	2	3	+1	14
10	Lorient	9	4	2	3	+1	14
11	Reims	9	3	4	2	-1	13
12	Clermont	9	4	1	4	-6	13
13	Nice	9	3	3	3	+2	12
14	Montpellier	10	3	1	6	-6	10
15	Troyes	9	1	6	2	-3	9
16	Auxerre	9	2	3	4	-8	9
17	Ajaccio	9	2	1	6	-7	7
18	Brest	9	1	4	4	-10	7
19	Strasbourg	10	0	6	4	-7	6
20	Angers	10	1	1	8	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	1	1	+20	22
2	Marseille	9	6	2	1	+11	20
3	Monaco	9	6	2	1	+9	20
4	Lorient	10	5	3	2	+1	18
5	Clermont	10	4	3	3	+3	15
6	Lille	9	4	2	3	+6	14
7	Lens	9	3	5	1	+4	14
8	Nice	10	3	4	3	+0	13
9	Reims	10	2	6	2	-1	12
10	Rennes	9	2	4	3	-1	10
11	Strasbourg	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Troyes	10	3	0	7	-7	9
13	Lyon	9	2	2	5	-3	8
14	Brest	10	2	2	6	-5	8
15	Ajaccio	9	2	2	5	-5	8
16	Montpellier	9	2	1	6	-6	7
17	Toulouse	9	2	1	6	-6	7
18	Nantes	10	1	4	5	-6	7
19	Angers	9	1	1	7	-13	4
20	Auxerre	10	1	1	8	-17	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.