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Super League
Referee: R Reinshreiber
Olympiakos
U S S S S
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
2,3
2,3
Conceded
0,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
This season — Super League · 19/17 matches
Win Ø 53%
58%
47%
Points per game
2,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
41%
Both score Ø 36%
42%
29%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 4. · Aris Thessalonikis 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 18 14 3 1 +21 45
2 AEK 19 14 2 3 +30 44
3 PAOK 20 11 7 2 +16 40
4 Olympiakos 19 11 5 3 +21 38
5 Volos NFC 18 8 5 5 -4 29
6 Aris Thessalonikis 17 8 4 5 +12 28
7 Aris 18 8 4 6 +11 28
8 Atromitos 19 6 6 7 +0 24
9 Panetolikos 20 6 4 10 -6 22
10 Asteras Tripolis 20 3 9 8 -13 18
11 OFI Crete 19 3 8 8 -8 17
12 Giannina 18 4 5 9 -17 17
13 Levadeiakos 20 2 7 11 -15 13
14 Lamia 19 1 8 10 -28 11
15 Ionikos 18 1 5 12 -20 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Aris Thessalonikis
In-Beom Hwang 🟨
37′
37′
🟨 Bryan Dabo
37′
🟨 Moses Odubajo
45′
ℹ️ Daniel Mancini
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–0
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ K. Fortounis
46′
1–0 G. Masouras
J. Rodríguez
46′
Y. El-Arabi 🔁
↦ C. Bakambu
70′
73′
🔁 Rafael Camacho
↦ A. Gray
73′
🔁 Manu García
↦ V. Darida
D. Samassékou 🔁
↦ J. Rodríguez
78′
80′
🔁 C. Doukouré
↦ B. Dabo
85′
🟨 Fabiano
85′
🔁 L. Palma
↦ M. García
Garry Rodrigues 🔁
↦ Pep Biel
88′
Oleg Reabciuk 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-2-3-1
91 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
74 A. Ntoi D
45 O. Reabciuk D
33 Hwang In-Beom M
6 Y. M'Vila M
7 K. Fortounis M
10 J. Rodríguez M
21 Pep Biel M
94 C. Bakambu F
Bench (9)
19 G. Masouras
11 Y. El-Arabi
38 D. Samassékou
77 Garry Rodrigues
4 P. Retsos
88 K. Tzolakis
27 P. Kasami
17 M. Vrousai
12 Marcelo

Coach: Míchel

Aris Thessalonikis

4-3-3
23 Julián G
22 M. Odubajo D
4 Fabiano D
14 J. Brabec D
18 B. Mazikou D
6 B. Dabo M
16 V. Darida M
13 O. Etebo M
10 M. García F
9 A. Gray F
7 D. Mancini F
Bench (9)
64 Rafael Camacho
19 Manu García
8 C. Doukouré
17 L. Palma
11 J. Iturbe
2 S. M'Bakata
43 M. Peersman
47 A. Kamara
99 M. Siampanis

Coach: A. Pardew

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Reinshreiber · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.