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LaLiga2
Referee: Víctor García
Mirandes
U S S T U
2–0
Full-time
Lugo
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mirandes Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,2
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 25%
27%
23%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
45%
32%
Both score Ø 52%
59%
45%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mirandes 16. · Lugo 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 23 12 7 4 +9 43
2 Las Palmas 23 11 9 3 +13 42
3 Levante 23 10 10 3 +11 40
4 Alaves 23 10 7 6 +2 37
5 Granada 23 10 5 8 +8 35
6 Burgos 22 9 8 5 +7 35
7 Leganes 22 9 6 7 +3 33
8 Albacete 22 8 9 5 +2 33
9 Cartagena 23 9 6 8 +1 33
10 Andorra 22 9 5 8 +7 32
11 Huesca 23 7 9 7 -1 30
12 Oviedo 23 8 6 9 -3 30
13 Zaragoza 23 7 8 8 +0 29
14 Sp Gijon 23 6 10 7 -2 28
15 Villarreal B 23 7 7 9 -4 28
16 Mirandes 22 6 9 7 -2 27
17 Tenerife 23 6 9 8 -2 27
18 Santander 23 6 7 10 -2 25
19 Ponferradina 23 6 7 10 -8 25
20 Lugo 22 5 6 11 -9 21
21 Malaga 23 4 8 11 -10 20
22 Ibiza 23 4 4 15 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mirandes Lugo
Jose Salinas 🟨
14′
1–0 Raúl García
30′
41′
🟨 Jaume Cuéllar
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Marc Carbó
↦ M. El Hacen
2–0 Raúl Navas
Raúl García
62′
63′
🔁 Sebas Moyano
↦ J. Cuéllar
63′
🔁 Dani Vidal
↦ Xavi Torres
Manu García 🔁
↦ César Gelabert
72′
77′
🔁 O. Lebedenko
↦ Jordi Calavera
77′
🔁 Manu Barreiro
↦ Ángel Baena
Jofre Carreras 🔁
↦ Roberto López
78′
Nacho Castillo 🔁
↦ Raúl García
82′
Manu García 🟥
88′
Manu García ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Mirandes

3-4-3
1 Ramón Juan G
4 Álex Martín D
16 Raúl Navas D
26 Barbu D
8 Juanlu Sánchez M
10 César Gelabert M
20 Oriol Rey M
12 José Salinas M
21 Roberto López F
9 Raúl García F
14 Óscar Pinchi F
Bench (8)
19 Manu García
22 Jofre Carreras
32 Nacho Castillo
13 Alfonso Herrero
29 Juan Durán
5 Javi Serrano
27 N. Michelis
17 S. Mráz

Coach: Joseba Etxeberria

Lugo

4-3-3
13 Óscar Whalley G
23 Jordi Calavera D
24 Álex Pérez D
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
12 Zé Ricardo D
18 M. El Hacen M
14 Xavi Torres M
8 Josep Señé M
11 Ángel Baena F
16 Chris Ramos F
29 J. Cuéllar F
Bench (11)
22 Marc Carbó
7 Sebas Moyano
28 Dani Vidal
19 O. Lebedenko
9 Manu Barreiro
1 P. Sequeira
32 I. Thiam
17 N. Lozano
20 Bruno Pirri
27 Andrés Castrín
26 Julen Fernández

Coach: Fran Justo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,01
U
3,05
B
4,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,50
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Víctor García · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.