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Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
Tottenham
S U T S S
0–2
Full-time
Arsenal
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — Premier League · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 69%
56%
82%
Points per game
1,8
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
61%
65%
Both score Ø 57%
61%
53%
Average goals
3,4
3,2
Scored
2,1
2,4
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tottenham 5. · Arsenal 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Arsenal 17 14 2 1 +26 44
2 Man City 18 12 3 3 +28 39
3 Newcastle 19 10 8 1 +22 38
4 Man United 18 12 2 4 +8 38
5 Tottenham 18 10 3 5 +12 33
6 Fulham 20 9 4 7 +3 31
7 Brighton 18 9 3 6 +10 30
8 Brentford 19 7 8 4 +4 29
9 Liverpool 18 8 4 6 +9 28
10 Chelsea 19 8 4 7 +1 28
11 Aston Villa 19 7 4 8 -5 25
12 Crystal Palace 18 6 4 8 -9 22
13 Nott'm Forest 19 5 5 9 -19 20
14 Leicester 19 5 2 12 -7 17
15 Leeds 18 4 5 9 -7 17
16 Wolves 19 4 5 10 -15 17
17 Bournemouth 19 4 4 11 -23 16
18 West Ham 19 4 3 12 -10 15
19 Everton 19 3 6 10 -11 15
20 Southampton 19 4 3 12 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tottenham Arsenal
14′
H. Lloris 1–0
own goal
Cristian Romero 🟨
35′
36′
M. Ødegaard 1–1
B. Saka
Half-time 1–1
Ryan Sessegnon 🟨
46′
Pape Matar Sarr 🟨
53′
70′
🟨 Gabriel Martinelli
Richarlison 🔁
↦ M. Doherty
71′
Clément Lenglet 🟨
72′
Y. Bissouma 🔁
↦ P. Sarr
76′
I. Perišić 🔁
↦ R. Sessegnon
76′
79′
🔁 K. Tierney
↦ Gabriel Martinelli
86′
🔁 T. Tomiyasu
↦ O. Zinchenko
Bryan Gil 🔁
↦ D. Kulusevski
88′
B. Davies 🔁
↦ C. Lenglet
88′
91′
🟨 Gabriel Magalhães
93′
🔁 E. Smith Rowe
↦ E. Nketiah
94′
🔁 Fábio Vieira
↦ M. Ødegaard
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tottenham

3-4-2-1
1 H. Lloris G
17 C. Romero D
15 E. Dier D
34 C. Lenglet D
2 M. Doherty M
29 P. Sarr M
5 P. Højbjerg M
19 R. Sessegnon M
21 D. Kulusevski F
7 Son Heung-Min F
10 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
9 Richarlison
38 Y. Bissouma
14 I. Perišić
11 Bryan Gil
33 B. Davies
6 D. Sánchez
4 O. Skipp
20 F. Forster
12 Emerson

Coach: A. Conte

Arsenal

4-3-3
1 A. Ramsdale G
4 B. White D
12 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
35 O. Zinchenko D
8 M. Ødegaard M
5 T. Partey M
34 G. Xhaka M
7 B. Saka F
14 E. Nketiah F
11 Gabriel Martinelli F
Bench (9)
3 K. Tierney
18 T. Tomiyasu
10 E. Smith Rowe
21 Fábio Vieira
72 M. Smith
23 A. Lokonga
16 R. Holding
30 M. Turner
27 Marquinhos

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,24
U
3,63
B ✓
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,79
U2,5 ✓
2,04
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.