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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Almeria

T S T U T

1–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 41%

31%

50%

Points per game

1,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

50%

38%

Both score Ø 53%

56%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

14 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

4 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Almeria 14. · Ath Madrid 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	13	2	1	+29	41
2	Real Madrid	16	12	2	2	+20	38
3	Sociedad	17	11	2	4	+8	35
4	Villarreal	17	8	4	5	+7	28
5	Betis	16	8	4	4	+6	28
6	Ath Madrid	16	8	3	5	+8	27
7	Osasuna	17	8	3	6	+1	27
8	Ath Bilbao	17	7	5	5	+8	26
9	Vallecano	17	7	5	5	+4	26
10	Mallorca	17	6	4	7	-2	22
11	Girona	17	5	6	6	-1	21
12	Valencia	16	5	4	7	+5	19
13	Espanol	17	3	8	6	-5	17
14	Almeria	16	5	2	9	-8	17
15	Getafe	17	4	5	8	-8	17
16	Celta	17	4	5	8	-11	17
17	Valladolid	17	5	2	10	-12	17
18	Sevilla	17	3	6	8	-9	15
19	Cadiz	16	3	6	7	-16	15
20	Elche	16	0	4	12	-24	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	6	2	0	+17	20
2	Osasuna	9	6	0	3	+4	18
3	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	17
4	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	17
5	Betis	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+2	17
7	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+7	16
8	Almeria	8	5	0	3	+3	15
9	Girona	9	4	3	2	+2	15
10	Vallecano	8	4	2	2	+4	14
11	Valencia	9	4	1	4	+7	13
12	Valladolid	9	4	1	4	-1	13
13	Ath Madrid	8	3	2	3	+2	11
14	Mallorca	8	3	2	3	+0	11
15	Celta	9	2	4	3	-1	10
16	Getafe	9	2	3	4	-3	9
17	Cadiz	8	1	4	3	-8	7
18	Espanol	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	Sevilla	8	1	3	4	-6	6
20	Elche	8	0	2	6	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	Real Madrid	9	7	0	2	+11	21
3	Sociedad	8	6	0	2	+6	18
4	Ath Madrid	8	5	1	2	+6	16
5	Vallecano	9	3	3	3	+0	12
6	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	+0	12
7	Espanol	9	2	5	2	+0	11
8	Betis	8	3	2	3	-1	11
9	Mallorca	9	3	2	4	-2	11
10	Ath Bilbao	8	2	3	3	+0	9
11	Sevilla	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Osasuna	8	2	3	3	-3	9
13	Getafe	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	Cadiz	8	2	2	4	-8	8
15	Celta	8	2	1	5	-10	7
16	Valencia	7	1	3	3	-2	6
17	Girona	8	1	3	4	-3	6
18	Valladolid	8	1	1	6	-11	4
19	Almeria	8	0	2	6	-11	2
20	Elche	8	0	2	6	-14	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.