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Premier League

Referee: P Bankes

Chelsea

S U T T T

1–0

Full-time

Crystal Palace

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Crystal Palace

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,2

This season — Premier League · 18/17 matches

Win Ø 37%

39%

35%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

50%

53%

Both score Ø 49%

50%

47%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

15 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chelsea 10. · Crystal Palace 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	17	14	2	1	+26	44
2	Man City	18	12	3	3	+28	39
3	Man United	18	12	2	4	+8	38
4	Newcastle	18	9	8	1	+21	35
5	Tottenham	18	10	3	5	+12	33
6	Fulham	19	9	4	6	+4	31
7	Brighton	18	9	3	6	+10	30
8	Brentford	19	7	8	4	+4	29
9	Liverpool	18	8	4	6	+9	28
10	Chelsea	18	7	4	7	+0	25
11	Aston Villa	19	7	4	8	-5	25
12	Crystal Palace	17	6	4	7	-8	22
13	Nott'm Forest	19	5	5	9	-19	20
14	Leicester	19	5	2	12	-7	17
15	Leeds	18	4	5	9	-7	17
16	Wolves	19	4	5	10	-15	17
17	Bournemouth	19	4	4	11	-23	16
18	West Ham	19	4	3	12	-10	15
19	Everton	19	3	6	10	-11	15
20	Southampton	19	4	3	12	-17	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	9	7	1	1	+21	22
2	Arsenal	8	7	1	0	+14	22
3	Man United	9	7	1	1	+12	22
4	Liverpool	9	6	2	1	+14	20
5	Newcastle	9	5	4	0	+12	19
6	Brentford	10	5	4	1	+10	19
7	Tottenham	9	6	0	3	+8	18
8	Fulham	10	5	3	2	+3	18
9	Aston Villa	10	5	2	3	+4	17
10	Nott'm Forest	10	4	3	3	+1	15
11	Brighton	9	4	2	3	+6	14
12	Chelsea	8	4	2	2	+5	14
13	Crystal Palace	9	4	1	4	-5	13
14	Leeds	9	3	3	3	+1	12
15	Bournemouth	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Wolves	10	3	2	5	-8	11
17	West Ham	9	3	1	5	-3	10
18	Leicester	9	2	2	5	-1	8
19	Everton	10	2	2	6	-5	8
20	Southampton	9	1	3	5	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	9	7	1	1	+12	22
2	Man City	9	5	2	2	+7	17
3	Newcastle	9	4	4	1	+9	16
4	Brighton	9	5	1	3	+4	16
5	Man United	9	5	1	3	-4	16
6	Tottenham	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Fulham	9	4	1	4	+1	13
8	Chelsea	10	3	2	5	-5	11
9	Brentford	9	2	4	3	-6	10
10	Crystal Palace	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	Leicester	10	3	0	7	-6	9
12	Southampton	10	3	0	7	-10	9
13	Liverpool	9	2	2	5	-5	8
14	Aston Villa	9	2	2	5	-9	8
15	Everton	9	1	4	4	-6	7
16	Wolves	9	1	3	5	-7	6
17	West Ham	10	1	2	7	-7	5
18	Leeds	9	1	2	6	-8	5
19	Nott'm Forest	9	1	2	6	-20	5
20	Bournemouth	10	1	2	7	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.