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Serie A

Referee: D Ghersini

Lazio

U T S S T

2–2

Full-time

Cagliari

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Cagliari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,0

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

4,3

4,7

Scored

3,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

3,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%

28 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 3

10 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 8

10 Corners 1

1 Offside 4

3 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lazio 9. · Cagliari 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	4	3	1	0	+11	10
2	Roma	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Milan	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Fiorentina	4	3	0	1	+1	9
6	Udinese	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Atalanta	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Bologna	4	2	1	1	-3	7
9	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+5	6
10	Torino	4	2	0	2	+3	6
11	Sampdoria	4	1	2	1	+2	5
12	Sassuolo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Spezia	4	1	1	2	-5	4
14	Genoa	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
16	Venezia	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Juventus	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Cagliari	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Verona	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Salernitana	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	2	2	0	0	+9	6
2	Milan	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Roma	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Bologna	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Udinese	2	1	1	0	+3	4
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Torino	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Cagliari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Atalanta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Juventus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Spezia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Verona	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Empoli	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+0	6
3	Sampdoria	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Inter	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Spezia	3	1	1	1	-4	4
6	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Venezia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Juventus	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-5	1
18	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.