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Serie A
Referee: D Orsato
Sampdoria
U S S T U
2–2
Full-time
Inter
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,8
Scored
1,2
3,7
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,5
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,5
4,0
Scored
0,0
3,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 13. · Inter 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Lazio 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Roma 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Inter 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Milan 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +0 6
7 Udinese 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Sassuolo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
10 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Empoli 3 1 0 2 -2 3
12 Venezia 3 1 0 2 -4 3
13 Sampdoria 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
15 Cagliari 2 0 1 1 -3 1
16 Spezia 2 0 1 1 -5 1
17 Torino 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Verona 2 0 0 2 -3 0
19 Salernitana 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Genoa 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Inter
18′
F. Dimarco 0–1
22′
🟨 Marcelo Brozović
1–1 M. Yoshida
33′
Morten Thorsby 🟨
35′
44′
Lautaro Martínez 1–2
N. Barella
Half-time 2–2
2–2 T. Augello
B. Bereszyński
47′
54′
🔁 D. D'Ambrosio
↦ I. Perišić
54′
🔁 A. Vidal
↦ M. Brozović
62′
🔁 J. Correa
↦ Lautaro Martínez
Bartosz Bereszyński 🟨
66′
67′
🔁 D. Dumfries
↦ F. Dimarco
67′
🔁 S. Sensi
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
K. Askildsen 🔁
↦ F. Quagliarella
68′
V. Verre 🔁
↦ M. Damsgaard
78′
N. Murru 🔁
↦ T. Augello
78′
Omar Colley 🟨
82′
Adrien Silva 🟨
88′
E. Torregrossa 🔁
↦ Adrien Silva
88′
89′
🟨 Edin Džeko
90′
🟨 Joaquín Correa
93′
🟨 Arturo Vidal
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-4-2
1 E. Audero G
22 M. Yoshida D
24 B. Bereszyński D
15 O. Colley D
3 T. Augello D
5 Adrien Silva M
87 A. Candreva M
2 M. Thorsby M
38 M. Damsgaard M
27 F. Quagliarella F
10 F. Caputo F
Bench (12)
16 K. Askildsen
8 V. Verre
29 N. Murru
9 E. Torregrossa
25 A. Ferrari
20 M. Ihattaren
4 J. Chabot
19 R. Drăgușin
12 F. Depaoli
11 R. Ciervo
70 S. Trimboli
33 W. Falcone

Coach: R. D'Aversa

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
36 M. Darmian M
6 S. de Vrij D
37 M. Škriniar D
32 F. Dimarco D
14 I. Perišić M
77 M. Brozović M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
23 N. Barella M
9 E. Džeko F
10 Lautaro Martínez F
Bench (12)
33 D. D'Ambrosio
22 A. Vidal
19 J. Correa
2 D. Dumfries
12 S. Sensi
8 M. Vecino
7 A. Sánchez
21 A. Cordaz
5 R. Gagliardini
97 I. Radu
13 A. Ranocchia
11 A. Kolarov

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,04
U ✓
4,07
B
1,66
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,23
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Orsato · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.