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Serie A

Referee: P Giacomelli

Crotone

T T T S T

0–3

Full-time

Genoa

U T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Genoa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,3

1,8

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

2,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 19%

16%

21%

Points per game

0,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

68%

47%

Both score Ø 63%

68%

58%

Average goals

3,4

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%

9 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 11

1 Offside 9

15 Free kicks against 22

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 20. · Genoa 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	20	14	4	2	+18	46
2	Inter	20	13	5	2	+26	44
3	Juventus	19	11	6	2	+21	39
4	Roma	19	11	4	4	+9	37
5	Atalanta	19	10	6	3	+21	36
6	Napoli	18	11	1	6	+22	34
7	Lazio	19	10	4	5	+6	34
8	Verona	19	8	6	5	+7	30
9	Sassuolo	19	8	6	5	+3	30
10	Sampdoria	20	8	2	10	-1	26
11	Fiorentina	20	5	7	8	-10	22
12	Benevento	20	6	4	10	-17	22
13	Udinese	20	5	6	9	-7	21
14	Bologna	20	5	5	10	-10	20
15	Spezia	20	4	6	10	-11	18
16	Genoa	19	4	6	9	-11	18
17	Torino	20	2	9	9	-9	15
18	Cagliari	19	3	5	11	-14	14
19	Parma	19	2	7	10	-22	13
20	Crotone	19	3	3	13	-21	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	10	8	1	1	+16	25
2	Roma	10	7	3	0	+13	24
3	Juventus	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Milan	10	5	3	2	+5	18
5	Atalanta	9	5	2	2	+12	17
6	Verona	10	5	2	3	+5	17
7	Lazio	10	5	2	3	+2	17
8	Napoli	9	5	1	3	+15	16
9	Fiorentina	10	4	4	2	+2	16
10	Bologna	10	4	2	4	-1	14
11	Sampdoria	10	4	1	5	+1	13
12	Sassuolo	9	3	4	2	+1	13
13	Genoa	10	3	2	5	-2	11
14	Crotone	9	3	1	5	-4	10
15	Udinese	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Benevento	10	2	3	5	-9	9
17	Cagliari	9	2	2	5	-6	8
18	Parma	10	1	4	5	-12	7
19	Torino	10	0	6	4	-5	6
20	Spezia	10	1	3	6	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	10	9	1	0	+13	28
2	Juventus	10	5	4	1	+11	19
3	Inter	10	5	4	1	+10	19
4	Atalanta	10	5	4	1	+9	19
5	Napoli	9	6	0	3	+7	18
6	Lazio	9	5	2	2	+4	17
7	Sassuolo	10	5	2	3	+2	17
8	Verona	9	3	4	2	+2	13
9	Sampdoria	10	4	1	5	-2	13
10	Roma	9	4	1	4	-4	13
11	Benevento	10	4	1	5	-8	13
12	Spezia	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Udinese	10	3	3	4	-2	12
14	Torino	10	2	3	5	-4	9
15	Genoa	9	1	4	4	-9	7
16	Cagliari	10	1	3	6	-8	6
17	Bologna	10	1	3	6	-9	6
18	Parma	9	1	3	5	-10	6
19	Fiorentina	10	1	3	6	-12	6
20	Crotone	10	0	2	8	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.