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Serie A

Referee: L Massimi

Verona

T U T S U

2–1

Full-time

Crotone

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

13%

Points per game

1,5

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

38%

63%

Both score Ø 60%

56%

63%

Average goals

2,2

3,4

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,9

2,4

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Verona 9. · Crotone 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	17	12	4	1	+18	40
2	Inter	17	11	4	2	+20	37
3	Roma	17	10	4	3	+11	34
4	Atalanta	16	9	4	3	+18	31
5	Juventus	15	8	6	1	+17	30
6	Sassuolo	16	8	5	3	+6	29
7	Napoli	15	9	1	5	+17	28
8	Lazio	16	7	4	5	+0	25
9	Verona	16	6	6	4	+5	24
10	Benevento	17	6	3	8	-10	21
11	Sampdoria	16	6	2	8	-1	20
12	Bologna	17	4	5	8	-8	17
13	Udinese	15	4	4	7	-6	16
14	Fiorentina	16	3	6	7	-6	15
15	Cagliari	16	3	5	8	-10	14
16	Spezia	16	3	5	8	-10	14
17	Genoa	17	3	5	9	-12	14
18	Torino	17	2	6	9	-9	12
19	Parma	16	2	6	8	-18	12
20	Crotone	16	2	3	11	-22	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	9	6	3	0	+12	21
2	Inter	8	6	1	1	+10	19
3	Milan	9	5	3	1	+8	18
4	Atalanta	8	5	1	2	+12	16
5	Juventus	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	Napoli	8	4	1	3	+9	13
7	Sassuolo	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Verona	8	3	2	3	+2	11
9	Bologna	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Lazio	8	3	2	3	-2	11
11	Sampdoria	8	3	1	4	+2	10
12	Fiorentina	8	2	4	2	+0	10
13	Genoa	9	2	2	5	-3	8
14	Cagliari	8	2	2	4	-4	8
15	Benevento	9	2	2	5	-9	8
16	Udinese	7	2	1	4	-4	7
17	Crotone	8	2	1	5	-7	7
18	Parma	8	1	4	3	-8	7
19	Torino	8	0	4	4	-5	4
20	Spezia	8	0	3	5	-9	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	8	7	1	0	+10	22
2	Inter	9	5	3	1	+10	18
3	Sassuolo	8	5	2	1	+5	17
4	Juventus	8	4	4	0	+11	16
5	Napoli	7	5	0	2	+8	15
6	Atalanta	8	4	3	1	+6	15
7	Lazio	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Verona	8	3	4	1	+3	13
9	Roma	8	4	1	3	-1	13
10	Benevento	8	4	1	3	-1	13
11	Spezia	8	3	2	3	-1	11
12	Sampdoria	8	3	1	4	-3	10
13	Udinese	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Torino	9	2	2	5	-4	8
15	Cagliari	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Bologna	9	1	3	5	-7	6
17	Genoa	8	1	3	4	-9	6
18	Fiorentina	8	1	2	5	-6	5
19	Parma	8	1	2	5	-10	5
20	Crotone	8	0	2	6	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.