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Primeira Liga

Referee: Fábio Veríssimo

Guimaraes

S T U S S

1–0

Full-time

Maritimo

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Maritimo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 45%

57%

33%

Points per game

1,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

43%

67%

Both score Ø 45%

29%

60%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 1

0 Offside 2

23 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guimaraes 6. · Maritimo 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	15	12	3	0	+24	39
2	Porto	15	11	2	2	+20	35
3	Benfica	15	10	3	2	+15	33
4	Sp Braga	15	10	0	5	+9	30
5	Pacos Ferreira	15	8	4	3	+10	28
6	Guimaraes	14	8	2	4	+6	26
7	Santa Clara	15	5	3	7	-4	18
8	Moreirense	15	4	6	5	-4	18
9	Tondela	16	5	3	8	-10	18
10	Maritimo	15	5	2	8	-5	17
11	Nacional	16	4	5	7	-6	17
12	Belenenses	15	3	6	6	-4	15
13	Rio Ave	15	3	6	6	-7	15
14	Portimonense	16	4	3	9	-8	15
15	Famalicao	16	3	5	8	-11	14
16	Boavista	16	2	8	6	-11	14
17	Gil Vicente	15	3	4	8	-7	13
18	Farense	15	3	3	9	-7	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Benfica	8	6	1	1	+8	19
3	Sp Braga	7	6	0	1	+7	18
4	Sp Lisbon	7	5	2	0	+10	17
5	Tondela	9	5	2	2	+2	17
6	Pacos Ferreira	7	5	1	1	+6	16
7	Moreirense	8	3	4	1	+3	13
8	Nacional	9	3	3	3	-1	12
9	Farense	8	3	2	3	+2	11
10	Portimonense	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Belenenses	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Guimaraes	7	3	0	4	-3	9
13	Rio Ave	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Gil Vicente	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Famalicao	8	1	3	4	-8	6
17	Santa Clara	7	1	2	4	-5	5
18	Boavista	7	1	2	4	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	Guimaraes	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Porto	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Benfica	7	4	2	1	+7	14
5	Santa Clara	8	4	1	3	+1	13
6	Pacos Ferreira	8	3	3	2	+4	12
7	Sp Braga	8	4	0	4	+2	12
8	Maritimo	8	3	0	5	-2	9
9	Boavista	9	1	6	2	-3	9
10	Famalicao	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Rio Ave	8	1	4	3	-6	7
12	Belenenses	7	1	3	3	-3	6
13	Nacional	7	1	2	4	-5	5
14	Gil Vicente	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Moreirense	7	1	2	4	-7	5
16	Portimonense	8	1	1	6	-8	4
17	Farense	7	0	1	6	-9	1
18	Tondela	7	0	1	6	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.