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Serie A

Referee: Massimiliano Irrati

Genoa

T T U S U

1–0

Full-time

Crotone

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Crotone

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Serie A · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 26%

29%

23%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

23%

48%

Both score Ø 37%

32%

42%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

19 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

21 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genoa 11. · Crotone 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	31	26	3	2	+56	81
2	Napoli	31	24	5	2	+45	77
3	Lazio	31	18	6	7	+35	60
4	Roma	31	18	6	7	+24	60
5	Inter	31	16	11	4	+28	59
6	Milan	31	15	7	9	+7	52
7	Fiorentina	31	14	8	9	+11	50
8	Atalanta	31	13	9	9	+13	48
9	Sampdoria	31	14	6	11	+4	48
10	Torino	31	11	12	8	+8	45
11	Genoa	31	9	8	14	-7	35
12	Bologna	31	10	5	16	-8	35
13	Udinese	32	10	3	19	-10	33
14	Cagliari	32	9	5	18	-22	32
15	Sassuolo	31	7	9	15	-30	30
16	Chievo	31	7	8	16	-22	29
17	Spal	31	5	12	14	-22	27
18	Crotone	31	7	6	18	-27	27
19	Verona	31	7	4	20	-36	25
20	Benevento	31	4	1	26	-47	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	13	1	1	+32	40
2	Napoli	16	12	2	2	+22	38
3	Inter	16	10	5	1	+19	35
4	Sampdoria	16	10	3	3	+14	33
5	Roma	16	9	1	6	+8	28
6	Milan	15	8	4	3	+3	28
7	Lazio	15	8	3	4	+21	27
8	Torino	16	7	5	4	+11	26
9	Atalanta	15	7	4	4	+9	25
10	Fiorentina	15	7	4	4	+4	25
11	Chievo	15	5	5	5	-3	20
12	Bologna	16	5	4	7	-1	19
13	Crotone	16	5	4	7	-5	19
14	Udinese	16	5	2	9	-2	17
15	Cagliari	16	5	2	9	-12	17
16	Spal	15	3	7	5	-8	16
17	Verona	16	5	1	10	-17	16
18	Genoa	15	4	3	8	-5	15
19	Benevento	16	4	1	11	-15	13
20	Sassuolo	15	2	6	7	-12	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	16	13	2	1	+24	41
2	Napoli	15	12	3	0	+23	39
3	Lazio	16	10	3	3	+14	33
4	Roma	15	9	5	1	+16	32
5	Fiorentina	16	7	4	5	+7	25
6	Inter	15	6	6	3	+9	24
7	Milan	16	7	3	6	+4	24
8	Atalanta	16	6	5	5	+4	23
9	Genoa	16	5	5	6	-2	20
10	Torino	15	4	7	4	-3	19
11	Sassuolo	16	5	3	8	-18	18
12	Bologna	15	5	1	9	-7	16
13	Udinese	16	5	1	10	-8	16
14	Sampdoria	15	4	3	8	-10	15
15	Cagliari	16	4	3	9	-10	15
16	Spal	16	2	5	9	-14	11
17	Verona	15	2	3	10	-19	9
18	Chievo	16	2	3	11	-19	9
19	Crotone	15	2	2	11	-22	8
20	Benevento	15	0	0	15	-32	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.