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Serie A
Referee: Nicola Rizzoli
Crotone
T
1–3
Full-time
Genoa
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Genoa
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
4,0
Scored
0,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crotone 17. · Genoa 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +2 6
2 Napoli 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Roma 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Genoa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Chievo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Bologna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Sampdoria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Lazio 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Milan 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Pescara 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Palermo 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Inter 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Atalanta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Torino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Fiorentina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Crotone 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Empoli 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Udinese 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crotone Genoa
Gianmarco Ferrari 🟨
14′
1–0 R. Palladino ⚽
34′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Gakpé
↦ L. Ocampos
51′
⚽ S. Gakpé 1–1
O. Ntcham
55′
⚽ L. Pavoletti 1–2
Miguel Veloso
62′
🟨 Diego Laxalt
63′
⚽ L. Pavoletti 1–3
A. Izzo
Raffaele Palladino 🟨
68′
72′
🔁 L. Rigoni
↦ O. Ntcham
M. Sampirisi 🔁
↦ Claiton
78′
L. Capezzi 🔁
↦ M. Rohdén
81′
82′
🔁 G. Marchese
↦ E. Muñoz
N. Di Roberto 🔁
↦ A. Rosi
84′
88′
🟨 Armando Izzo
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Crotone

3-4-3
5 M. Festa G
22 A. Rosi M
3 Claiton D
17 F. Ceccherini D
13 G. Ferrari D
87 B. Martella D
20 A. Salzano M
6 M. Rohdén M
7 R. Palladino F
24 A. Tonev M
99 S. Nwankwo F
Bench (10)
31 M. Sampirisi
28 L. Capezzi
11 N. Di Roberto
1 A. Cordaz
12 A. Stoian
21 G. Cuomo
33 A. Viscovo
18 A. Barberis
14 E. Gnahoré
10 P. De Giorgio

Coach: D. Nicola

Genoa

3-4-3
23 E. Lamanna G
8 N. Burdisso D
24 E. Muñoz D
5 A. Izzo D
44 Miguel Veloso M
22 D. Lazović M
88 T. Rincón M
93 D. Laxalt M
10 O. Ntcham M
19 L. Pavoletti F
11 L. Ocampos M
Bench (12)
13 S. Gakpé
30 L. Rigoni
15 G. Marchese
9 G. Simeone
38 L. Zima
33 F. Renzetti
1 M. Perin
26 L. Zanimacchia
20 I. Cissokho
4 I. Cofie
29 R. Fiamozzi
27 G. Pandev

Coach: I. Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Nicola Rizzoli · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
14,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.