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Serie A
Referee: D Chiffi
Atalanta
S S U U S
1–3
Full-time
Lazio
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,7
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 53%
53%
53%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
68%
58%
Both score Ø 68%
68%
68%
Average goals
3,5
3,1
Scored
2,3
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
8 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Atalanta 5. · Lazio 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 20 14 4 2 +18 46
2 Inter 20 13 5 2 +26 44
3 Juventus 19 11 6 2 +21 39
4 Roma 19 11 4 4 +9 37
5 Atalanta 19 10 6 3 +21 36
6 Napoli 18 11 1 6 +22 34
7 Lazio 19 10 4 5 +6 34
8 Verona 19 8 6 5 +7 30
9 Sassuolo 19 8 6 5 +3 30
10 Sampdoria 20 8 2 10 -1 26
11 Fiorentina 20 5 7 8 -10 22
12 Benevento 20 6 4 10 -17 22
13 Udinese 20 5 6 9 -7 21
14 Bologna 20 5 5 10 -10 20
15 Spezia 20 4 6 10 -11 18
16 Genoa 19 4 6 9 -11 18
17 Torino 20 2 9 9 -9 15
18 Cagliari 19 3 5 11 -14 14
19 Parma 19 2 7 10 -22 13
20 Crotone 19 3 3 13 -21 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,74
U
4,12
B ✓
4,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,49
U2,5
2,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Chiffi · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.