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Serie A
Referee: M Piccinini
Roma
S S U T S
3–1
Full-time
Verona
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Verona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 50%
58%
42%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
79%
42%
Both score Ø 58%
58%
58%
Average goals
3,8
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,7
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 6
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roma 5. · Verona 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Milan 20 14 4 2 +18 46
2 Inter 20 13 5 2 +26 44
3 Juventus 19 11 6 2 +21 39
4 Napoli 19 12 1 6 +24 37
5 Roma 19 11 4 4 +9 37
6 Lazio 20 11 4 5 +8 37
7 Atalanta 20 10 6 4 +19 36
8 Sassuolo 20 8 7 5 +3 31
9 Verona 19 8 6 5 +7 30
10 Sampdoria 20 8 2 10 -1 26
11 Fiorentina 20 5 7 8 -10 22
12 Benevento 20 6 4 10 -17 22
13 Udinese 20 5 6 9 -7 21
14 Genoa 20 5 6 9 -8 21
15 Bologna 20 5 5 10 -10 20
16 Spezia 20 4 6 10 -11 18
17 Torino 20 2 9 9 -9 15
18 Cagliari 20 3 6 11 -14 15
19 Parma 20 2 7 11 -24 13
20 Crotone 20 3 3 14 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roma Verona
M. Kumbulla 🔁
↦ C. Smalling
12′
Lorenzo Pellegrini 🟨
17′
1–0 G. Mancini
L. Pellegrini
20′
2–0 H. Mkhitaryan
Borja Mayoral
22′
23′
🟨 Davide Faraoni
3–0 Borja Mayoral
29′
Marash Kumbulla 🟨
38′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 K. Lasagna
↦ N. Kalinić
57′
🔁 E. Colley
↦ M. Zaccagni
57′
🔁 F. Dimarco
↦ D. Faraoni
57′
🔁 Daniel Bessa
↦ I. Ilić
61′
E. Colley 3–1
Daniel Bessa
B. Cristante 🔁
↦ Gonzalo Villar
71′
80′
🔁 I. Udogie
↦ F. Ceccherini
Bruno Peres 🔁
↦ R. Karsdorp
86′
Carles Pérez 🔁
↦ Borja Mayoral
86′
A. Diawara 🔁
↦ J. Veretout
86′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Roma

3-4-2-1
13 Pau López G
6 C. Smalling D
37 L. Spinazzola M
2 R. Karsdorp M
23 G. Mancini D
3 Ibañez D
77 H. Mkhitaryan F
17 J. Veretout M
7 L. Pellegrini F
14 Gonzalo Villar M
21 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (10)
24 M. Kumbulla
4 B. Cristante
33 Bruno Peres
31 Carles Pérez
42 A. Diawara
61 R. Calafiori
83 A. Mirante
27 J. Pastore
18 D. Santon
87 Daniel Fuzato

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Verona

3-4-2-1
1 M. Silvestri G
5 D. Faraoni M
21 K. Günter D
17 F. Ceccherini D
27 P. Dawidowicz D
8 D. Lazović M
61 A. Tameze M
20 M. Zaccagni F
7 A. Barák F
14 I. Ilić M
29 N. Kalinić F
Bench (11)
92 K. Lasagna
90 E. Colley
3 F. Dimarco
40 Daniel Bessa
13 I. Udogie
15 M. Çetin
22 A. Berardi
6 M. Lovato
16 F. Terracciano
25 I. Pandur
36 B. Amione

Coach: I. Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,66
U
3,96
B
5,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,28
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Piccinini · 104 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.