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Süper Lig
Referee: Sarper Barıs Saka
Denizlispor
T U T T T
2–1
Full-time
Goztep
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Goztep
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,3
This season — Süper Lig · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 23%
15%
30%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
50%
45%
Both score Ø 58%
55%
60%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
9 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Denizlispor 21. · Goztep 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 21 14 3 4 +20 45
2 Besiktas 20 14 2 4 +24 44
3 Galatasaray 21 13 3 5 +25 42
4 Gaziantep 21 9 8 4 +9 35
5 Hatayspor 21 10 5 6 +8 35
6 Alanyaspor 20 10 4 6 +14 34
7 Trabzonspor 20 9 6 5 +2 33
8 Karagumruk 21 8 7 6 +4 31
9 Yeni Malatyaspor 21 7 7 7 +1 28
10 Antalyaspor 20 6 8 6 -6 26
11 Goztep 20 6 7 7 +5 25
12 Kasimpasa 21 7 4 10 -8 25
13 Rizespor 21 6 7 8 -9 25
14 Sivasspor 20 5 9 6 -4 24
15 Buyuksehyr 21 6 6 9 -10 24
16 Konyaspor 20 6 5 9 +0 23
17 Kayserispor 21 6 4 11 -11 22
18 Erzurumspor 21 5 5 11 -15 20
19 Genclerbirligi 20 5 4 11 -20 19
20 Ankaragücü 21 5 3 13 -10 18
21 Denizlispor 20 3 5 12 -19 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Denizlispor Goztep
Sakıb Aytaç 🟨
19′
22′
🟨 Obinna Nwobodo
1–0 R. Niyaz
Á. Sagal
41′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Esiti
↦ A. Öztürk
46′
🔁 F. Diabaté
↦ Z. Tripić
Fabiano 🟨
54′
M. Bakalorz 🔁
↦ Á. Sagal
67′
69′
M. Mihojević 1–1
B. Emir
H. Ayaroğlu 🔁
↦ S. Aytaç
76′
Ahmed Yasin 🔁
↦ K. Aktaş
76′
2–1 M. Mešanović
79′
81′
🔁 B. Ideye
↦ P. Žulj
M. Diskerud 🔁
↦ R. Niyaz
89′
H. Sacko 🔁
↦ M. Mešanović
89′
89′
🔁 S. Napoleoni
↦ O. Nwobodo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Denizlispor

4-1-4-1
19 C. Gönen G
22 M. Yumlu D
23 S. Aytaç D
2 Tiago Lopes D
91 Fabiano D
20 R. Niyaz M
8 R. Murawski M
5 K. Aktaş M
7 H. Rodallega F
11 M. Mešanović M
28 Á. Sagal M
Bench (10)
6 M. Bakalorz
70 H. Ayaroğlu
17 Ahmed Yasin
42 M. Diskerud
9 H. Sacko
76 Ö. Özdemir
29 C. Pantilimon
3 M. Özkal
14 M. Dossevi
61 A. Kol

Coach: H. Kutlu

Goztep

4-1-4-1
70 İ. Eğribayat G
4 Titi D
41 B. Emir D
3 M. Mihojević D
77 M. Paluli D
32 P. Žulj M
5 A. Öztürk M
11 Z. Tripić M
7 H. Akbunar M
60 O. Nwobodo M
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (10)
44 A. Esiti
29 F. Diabaté
22 B. Ideye
99 S. Napoleoni
16 B. Megyeri
33 A. Nukan
6 K. Sönmez
80 B. Şimşek
20 L. Gassama
68 D. Bureković

Coach: Ü. Karaman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,77
U
3,35
B
2,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.