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Eredivisie
Referee: E Blank
Den Haag
S T T U T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 22%
11%
33%
Points per game
0,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
53%
44%
Both score Ø 46%
53%
39%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Den Haag 17. · Sparta Rotterdam 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 19 15 2 2 +48 47
2 PSV Eindhoven 20 13 4 3 +24 43
3 Vitesse 20 13 3 4 +16 42
4 AZ Alkmaar 19 10 7 2 +16 37
5 Feyenoord 18 11 3 4 +17 36
6 Groningen 19 10 3 6 +5 33
7 Twente 20 8 6 6 +8 30
8 Heerenveen 20 6 8 6 +1 26
9 Utrecht 18 6 8 4 +0 26
10 Heracles 20 7 4 9 -7 25
11 For Sittard 20 7 4 9 -8 25
12 Zwolle 20 4 10 6 -7 22
13 VVV Venlo 20 6 4 10 -15 22
14 Sparta Rotterdam 18 6 3 9 -3 21
15 Waalwijk 20 3 6 11 -17 15
16 Willem II 20 3 4 13 -18 13
17 Den Haag 19 2 5 12 -28 11
18 FC Emmen 20 0 6 14 -32 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Den Haag Sparta Rotterdam
36′
🟨 Michael Heylen
1–0 T. Gomelt
J. Goossens
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Jeffry Fortes
↦ S. Mijnans
46′
🔁 D. Gravenberch
↦ B. Smeets
V. Besuijen 🔁
↦ B. Adekanye
59′
65′
🔁 L. Duarte
↦ A. Auassar
65′
🔁 R. Kharchouch
↦ M. Engels
68′
R. Kharchouch 1–1
L. Thy
S. Pinas 🔁
↦ J. Goossens
70′
A. Ćatić 🔁
↦ Y. Mokhtar
72′
Dario Del Fabro 🟨
73′
Juan Castillo 🟨
77′
Shaquille Pinas 🟨
78′
Vicente Besuijen 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-3-3
90 M. Fraisl G
15 D. Del Fabro D
4 B. Kemper D
2 M. van Ewijk D
88 M. Vejinovic M
8 J. Goossens M
30 Y. Mokhtar F
95 T. Gomelt M
5 J. Familio-Castillo D
29 M. Kramer F
24 B. Adekanye F
Bench (11)
20 V. Besuijen
19 S. Pinas
34 A. Ćatić
51 G. Zuiverloon
31 R. Kishna
18 D. Philipp
9 J. Arweiler
1 L. Koopmans
14 K. de Boer
23 Pascu
11 S. Bourard

Coach: R. Brood

Sparta Rotterdam

4-4-2
1 M. Okoye G
3 T. Beugelsdijk D
5 M. Pinto D
4 M. Heylen D
2 D. Abels D
6 A. Auassar M
10 B. Smeets M
8 A. Harroui M
7 S. Mijnans M
9 L. Thy F
11 M. Engels F
Bench (11)
12 Jeffry Fortes
19 D. Gravenberch
14 L. Duarte
17 R. Kharchouch
20 B. van Leer
21 D. Vianello
18 J. Meerstadt
15 W. Burger
13 A. Meijers
16 E. Emegha
30 M. Fabrie

Coach: H. Fraser

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,69
U ✓
4,10
B
1,65
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Blank · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.