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Ligue 1

Referee: B Millot

Brest

T S T T T

2–4

Full-time

Metz

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brest Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,7

1,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

71%

19%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

3,2

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

63% Possession 37%

10 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brest 12. · Metz 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	22	13	7	2	+26	46
2	Paris SG	21	14	3	4	+37	45
3	Lille	21	13	6	2	+21	45
4	Monaco	21	12	3	6	+12	39
5	Rennes	21	10	6	5	+7	36
6	Lens	22	10	4	8	+1	34
7	Marseille	20	9	5	6	+5	32
8	Bordeaux	22	9	5	8	+2	32
9	Metz	21	8	7	6	+5	31
10	Angers	21	9	3	9	-7	30
11	Montpellier	22	8	4	10	-7	28
12	Brest	21	8	2	11	-6	26
13	Nice	21	7	5	9	-6	26
14	Reims	21	6	6	9	-2	24
15	Strasbourg	21	7	3	11	-3	24
16	St Etienne	22	5	7	10	-14	22
17	Nantes	21	3	9	9	-14	18
18	Dijon	21	2	9	10	-15	15
19	Lorient	20	4	3	13	-17	15
20	Nimes	20	4	3	13	-25	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	8	1	2	+24	25
2	Lyon	11	7	3	1	+14	24
3	Lille	11	7	3	1	+13	24
4	Monaco	11	7	3	1	+12	24
5	Brest	10	6	1	3	+4	19
6	Metz	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Bordeaux	11	5	3	3	+3	18
8	Rennes	11	5	2	4	+0	17
9	Marseille	10	4	3	3	+3	15
10	Lens	10	4	2	4	+0	14
11	Reims	10	4	2	4	-1	14
12	Angers	10	4	1	5	-4	13
13	Montpellier	12	4	1	7	-5	13
14	Nantes	10	2	6	2	-4	12
15	Strasbourg	10	3	2	5	-2	11
16	Lorient	10	3	1	6	-5	10
17	St Etienne	10	2	4	4	-7	10
18	Nice	11	2	2	7	-12	8
19	Dijon	11	0	6	5	-7	6
20	Nimes	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lyon	11	6	4	1	+12	22
2	Lille	10	6	3	1	+8	21
3	Paris SG	10	6	2	2	+13	20
4	Lens	12	6	2	4	+1	20
5	Rennes	10	5	4	1	+7	19
6	Nice	10	5	3	2	+6	18
7	Marseille	10	5	2	3	+2	17
8	Angers	11	5	2	4	-3	17
9	Monaco	10	5	0	5	+0	15
10	Montpellier	10	4	3	3	-2	15
11	Bordeaux	11	4	2	5	-1	14
12	Metz	10	3	4	3	+1	13
13	Strasbourg	11	4	1	6	-1	13
14	St Etienne	12	3	3	6	-7	12
15	Nimes	10	3	2	5	-11	11
16	Reims	11	2	4	5	-1	10
17	Dijon	10	2	3	5	-8	9
18	Brest	11	2	1	8	-10	7
19	Nantes	11	1	3	7	-10	6
20	Lorient	10	1	2	7	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.