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La Liga
Referee: I Galech
Getafe
T U T T U
0–0
Full-time
Celta
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Getafe Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 34%
29%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
38%
62%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,35 xG 0,18
38% Possession 62%
9 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
5 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Getafe 16. · Celta 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 22 18 1 3 +37 +28.2 55
2 Real Madrid 22 17 3 2 +29 +28.0 54
3 Ath Madrid 22 13 6 3 +21 +10.5 45
4 Villarreal 21 13 3 5 +16 +6.9 42
5 Betis 22 9 8 5 +8 +6.3 35
6 Espanol 22 10 4 8 -1 +3.2 34
7 Celta 21 8 8 5 +6 -0.0 32
8 Sociedad 21 7 6 8 +0 -1.2 27
9 Osasuna 22 7 5 10 -1 -2.6 26
10 Alaves 22 7 4 11 -7 -2.6 25
11 Girona 22 6 7 9 -15 -12.1 25
12 Elche 22 5 9 8 -2 -15.7 24
13 Sevilla 21 7 3 11 -5 -9.8 24
14 Ath Bilbao 21 7 3 11 -10 +5.9 24
15 Valencia 22 5 8 9 -12 -1.1 23
16 Getafe 21 6 4 11 -11 -7.2 22
17 Vallecano 22 5 7 10 -12 +0.0 22
18 Mallorca 21 5 6 10 -9 -12.7 21
19 Levante 21 4 6 11 -10 -7.6 18
20 Oviedo 22 3 7 12 -22 -16.4 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Getafe Celta
19′
🟨 Ilaix Moriba
Martín Satriano 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
61′
🟨 Borja Iglesias
Javier Munoz 🔁
↦ M. Martin
68′
68′
🔁 S. Carreira
↦ O. Mingueza
68′
🔁 P. Duran
↦ W. Swedberg
76′
🔁 H. Alvarez
↦ B. Iglesias
A. Liso 🔁
↦ M. Satriano
77′
77′
🔁 J. Rueda
↦ J. El Abdellaoui
81′
🔁 I. Aspas
↦ F. Lopez
S. Boselli 🔁
↦ D. Duarte
90′
A. Nyom 🔁
↦ L. Vazquez
90′
Alex Sancris 🔁
↦ Kiko Femenia
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Getafe

5-3-2
13 D. Soria G
17 Kiko Femenia D
22 D. Duarte D
2 Djene D
24 Z. Romero D
21 J. Iglesias D
6 M. Martin M
5 L. Milla M
8 M. Arambarri M
19 L. Vazquez F
10 M. Satriano F
Bench (11)
1 J. Letacek
15 S. Boselli
41 J. Montes
12 A. Nyom
16 D. Rico
14 Javier Munoz
44 A. Riquelme
20 C. da Costa
7 Juanmi
23 A. Liso
18 Alex Sancris

Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez

Celta

3-4-2-1
13 I. Radu G
32 J. Rodriguez D
2 C. Starfelt D
20 M. Alonso D
39 J. El Abdellaoui M
16 M. Roman M
6 I. Moriba M
3 O. Mingueza M
8 F. Lopez F
19 W. Swedberg F
7 B. Iglesias F
Bench (12)
1 I. Villar
4 J. Aidoo
5 S. Carreira
24 C. Dominguez
12 M. Fernandez
29 Y. Lago
17 J. Rueda
22 H. Sotelo
23 H. Alvarez
10 I. Aspas
18 P. Duran
9 F. Jutgla

Coach: Claudio Giraldez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,82
U ✓
2,85
B
2,76
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,86
U2,5 ✓
1,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.