La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Getafe
Celta
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | +37 | +28.2 | 55 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | +29 | +28.0 | 54 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | +21 | +10.5 | 45 |
| 4 |
Villarreal
|
21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | +16 | +6.9 | 42 |
| 5 |
Betis
|
22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | +8 | +6.3 | 35 |
| 6 |
Espanol
|
22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | -1 | +3.2 | 34 |
| 7 |
Celta
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +6 | -0.0 | 32 |
| 8 |
Sociedad
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +0 | -1.2 | 27 |
| 9 |
Osasuna
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -1 | -2.6 | 26 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -7 | -2.6 | 25 |
| 11 |
Girona
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | -15 | -12.1 | 25 |
| 12 |
Elche
|
22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | -2 | -15.7 | 24 |
| 13 |
Sevilla
|
21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | -5 | -9.8 | 24 |
| 14 |
Ath Bilbao
|
21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | -10 | +5.9 | 24 |
| 15 |
Valencia
|
22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | -12 | -1.1 | 23 |
| 16 |
Getafe
|
21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | -11 | -7.2 | 22 |
| 17 |
Vallecano
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -12 | +0.0 | 22 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -9 | -12.7 | 21 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -10 | -7.6 | 18 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
|
22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -22 | -16.4 | 16 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Soria
G
Kiko Femenia
D
Djene
D
Z. Romero
D
J. Iglesias
D
M. Martin
M
L. Milla
M
L. Vazquez
F
M. Satriano
F
Coach: Jose Bordalas Jimenez
I. Radu
G
J. Rodriguez
D
C. Starfelt
D
M. Alonso
D
J. El Abdellaoui
M
M. Roman
M
I. Moriba
M
O. Mingueza
M
F. Lopez
F
W. Swedberg
F
B. Iglesias
F
Coach: Claudio Giraldez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Girona
Getafe
Getafe
Valencia
Getafe
Sociedad
Vallecano
Getafe
Betis
Getafe
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.