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LaLiga2
Referee: Luis Milla
Zaragoza
U U S S U
1–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 37%
30%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 31%
32%
30%
Both score Ø 40%
41%
38%
Average goals
1,9
1,8
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
0,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%
12 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 6
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 8
6 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 13. · Las Palmas 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Eibar 38 18 13 7 +10 67
2 Granada 38 19 8 11 +19 65
3 Levante 38 16 17 5 +15 65
4 Alaves 38 18 11 9 +13 65
5 Las Palmas 37 16 15 6 +16 63
6 Albacete 38 15 14 9 +5 59
7 Cartagena 38 16 9 13 +5 57
8 Oviedo 38 14 10 14 -2 52
9 Andorra 38 14 9 15 +8 51
10 Mirandes 38 13 12 13 -1 51
11 Tenerife 38 12 14 12 +4 50
12 Burgos 37 12 14 11 +2 50
13 Zaragoza 37 11 15 11 +1 48
14 Huesca 37 10 17 10 +1 47
15 Santander 38 12 11 15 -3 47
16 Villarreal B 37 12 10 15 -5 46
17 Leganes 38 12 10 16 -7 46
18 Sp Gijon 37 10 15 12 -2 45
19 Malaga 37 9 12 16 -6 39
20 Ponferradina 38 7 15 16 -18 36
21 Ibiza 38 6 11 21 -29 29
22 Lugo 37 5 12 20 -26 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Las Palmas
Miguel Puche 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
17′
40′
🟨 Alex Suárez
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Bebé
Fran Gámez
58′
64′
🔁 Sidnei
↦ Álex Suárez
65′
🔁 Marvin Park
↦ O. Mfulu
M. Gueye 🔁
↦ Ivan Azón
73′
73′
🔁 Loren Morón
↦ Pejiño
73′
🔁 Kirian Rodríguez
↦ Enrique Clemente
Jaume Grau 🟨
75′
81′
ℹ️ Jonathan Viera
VAR: Penalty confirmed
83′
Jonathan Viera 1–1
84′
🔁 Marc Cardona
↦ Sidnei
V. Vada 🔁
↦ Sergio Bermejo
85′
Alberto Zapater 🔁
↦ Jaume Grau
85′
G. Fuentes 🔁
↦ Bebé
86′
Gabriel Fuentes 🟨
87′
Fran Gámez 🟨
89′
Cristian Álvarez 🟨
95′
Cristian Álvarez 🟨
95′
Cristian Álvarez 🟥
95′
Makhtar Gueye 🟨
100′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zaragoza

4-4-2
1 C. Álvarez G
18 Fran Gámez D
24 Lluís López D
3 Jair Amador D
17 Carlos Nieto D
10 Sergio Bermejo M
14 Francho Serrano M
5 Jaume Grau M
4 Bebé M
9 Ivan Azón F
20 G. Simeone F
Bench (12)
7 Miguel Puche
19 M. Gueye
11 V. Vada
21 Alberto Zapater
2 G. Fuentes
12 Gaizka Larrazabal
6 Alejandro Francés
38 Pau Sans
8 Eugeni Valderrama
15 J. Quinteros
13 Álvaro Ratón
23 Manu Molina

Coach: Fran Escribá

Las Palmas

4-1-4-1
13 Álvaro Vallés G
14 Álvaro Lemos D
23 Saúl Coco D
4 Álex Suárez D
5 Enrique Clemente D
22 O. Mfulu M
24 Pejiño M
12 E. Loiodice M
21 Jonathan Viera M
10 Alberto Moleiro M
9 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (10)
18 Sidnei
2 Marvin Park
11 Loren Morón
20 Kirian Rodríguez
19 Marc Cardona
25 W. Kaptoum
17 Óscar Clemente
1 Álex Domínguez
36 Álex González
7 Vitolo

Coach: García Pimienta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,54
U ✓
2,96
B
2,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,56
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luis Milla · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.