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LaLiga2
Referee: David Gálvez
Cartagena
T S U U T
1–4
Full-time
Las Palmas
T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches
Win Ø 42%
40%
43%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
45%
28%
Both score Ø 42%
43%
40%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,1
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

45% Possession 55%
12 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 7. · Las Palmas 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 40 20 9 11 +21 69
2 Las Palmas 40 17 17 6 +17 68
3 Alaves 40 18 13 9 +13 67
4 Eibar 40 18 13 9 +8 67
5 Levante 40 16 18 6 +14 66
6 Albacete 40 16 15 9 +10 63
7 Cartagena 40 16 10 14 +3 58
8 Oviedo 40 15 11 14 -1 56
9 Andorra 40 15 10 15 +9 55
10 Burgos 40 13 15 12 +0 54
11 Tenerife 40 13 14 13 +4 53
12 Zaragoza 41 12 16 13 +1 52
13 Mirandes 40 13 13 14 -3 52
14 Leganes 40 14 10 16 -3 52
15 Santander 40 13 12 15 -2 51
16 Villarreal B 40 13 11 16 -4 50
17 Huesca 40 10 19 11 +0 49
18 Sp Gijon 40 11 16 13 -2 49
19 Malaga 40 10 13 17 -6 43
20 Ponferradina 40 8 16 16 -16 40
21 Ibiza 41 7 12 22 -33 33
22 Lugo 40 5 13 22 -30 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Las Palmas
1–0 Mikel Rico
P. De Blasis
11′
15′
E. Loiodice 1–1
Pejiño
22′
Sandro Ramírez 1–2
Pejiño
Yan Eteki 🟨
27′
37′
Kiko Olivas 2–2
own goal
Pablo De Blasis 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–2
F. Feuillassier 🔁
↦ Alfredo Ortuño
53′
Jairo Izquierdo 🔁
↦ Pêpê Rodrigues
53′
61′
🔁 Marvin Park
↦ Sergi Cardona
61′
🔁 Fabio González
↦ Alberto Moleiro
68′
🔁 Enrique Clemente
↦ Pejiño
D. Musto 🔁
↦ Y. Eteki
73′
David Ferreiro 🔁
↦ Iván Martos
73′
79′
Sandro Ramírez 2–3
Kirian Rodríguez
81′
🔁 W. Kaptoum
↦ Kirian Rodríguez
81′
🔁 Marc Cardona
↦ Sandro Ramírez
Borja Valle 🔁
↦ Jairo Izquierdo
84′
89′
🟨 Saúl Coco
Borja Valle ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
91′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
13 Aarón Escandell G
16 Iván Calero D
21 Kiko Olivas D
6 T. Datković D
3 Iván Martos D
22 Y. Eteki M
23 Pêpê Rodrigues M
11 Darío Poveda M
17 Mikel Rico M
8 P. De Blasis M
9 Alfredo Ortuño F
Bench (12)
14 F. Feuillassier
20 Jairo Izquierdo
18 D. Musto
7 David Ferreiro
10 Borja Valle
15 Sangalli
4 Alcalá
1 Marc Martínez
5 Pablo Vázquez
19 A. Sadiku
12 Lee Sang-Hyeok
2 Miguel Llambrich

Coach: Luis Carrión

Las Palmas

4-1-4-1
13 Álvaro Vallés G
14 Álvaro Lemos D
23 Saúl Coco D
4 Álex Suárez D
3 Sergi Cardona D
20 Kirian Rodríguez M
24 Pejiño M
12 E. Loiodice M
21 Jonathan Viera M
10 Alberto Moleiro M
9 Sandro Ramírez F
Bench (12)
2 Marvin Park
8 Fabio González
5 Enrique Clemente
25 W. Kaptoum
19 Marc Cardona
30 Javier Cendón
11 Loren Morón
17 Óscar Clemente
16 F. Andone
15 Álvaro Jiménez
1 Álex Domínguez
6 Eric Curbelo

Coach: García Pimienta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,82
U
3,26
B ✓
2,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,74
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Gálvez · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.