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Copa del Rey

Referee: Alejandro Muñiz

Oviedo

S U T S S

0–2

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

0,8

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

0,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

This season — Copa del Rey · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

2,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 2

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Oviedo 20. · Ath Madrid 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	Mallorca	3	3	0	0	+9	9
5	Levante	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Sp Gijon	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Espanol	3	3	0	0	+6	9
8	Ceuta	3	3	0	0	+3	9
9	Celta	3	2	0	1	+6	6
10	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Elche	3	2	0	1	+5	6
13	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
14	Cacereño	3	2	0	1	+3	6
15	Gimnastic	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
18	Intercity	2	2	0	0	+3	6
19	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
20	Oviedo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
21	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
22	Pontevedra	3	2	0	1	+1	6
23	Linares Deportivo	3	2	0	1	-3	6
24	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
25	Eldense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
26	UD Logroñés	3	1	1	1	+1	4
27	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
30	La Nucía	3	1	1	1	-1	4
31	Cartagena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
32	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Fuentes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Granada	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Alcora	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Arenteiro	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
48	Numancia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
52	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
55	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
56	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
58	Alcorcon	2	0	2	0	+0	2
59	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
71	Mérida AD	2	0	1	1	-1	1
72	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
73	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
74	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
75	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
76	Rincón	2	0	1	1	-3	1
77	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
78	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
79	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
102	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
103	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
104	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
105	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
106	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
107	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
118	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
119	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
120	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
121	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0
122	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
123	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cacereño	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Levante	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Ceuta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Saguntino	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Espanol	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Guijuelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Eldense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Real Unión	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Arenteiro	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Sestao River	2	1	0	1	+0	3
17	Barbadás	2	1	0	1	-1	3
18	Pontevedra	2	1	0	1	-1	3
19	Velarde	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Diocesano	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Algar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
22	Cazalegas	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Guadalajara	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	Arenas Getxo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
25	CD Coria	2	1	0	1	-3	3
26	Linares Deportivo	2	1	0	1	-4	3
27	Santa Amalia	2	1	0	1	-8	3
28	Coruxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Utebo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Peña Deportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Ourense CF	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Montilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Recreativo Huelva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Atlético Paso	2	0	1	1	-1	1
36	UD Logroñés	2	0	1	1	-1	1
37	Arnedo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
38	Juventud Torremolinos	2	0	1	1	-3	1
39	Gernika	2	0	1	1	-3	1
40	La Nucía	2	0	1	1	-3	1
41	Autol	2	0	1	1	-6	1
42	Beasain	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Gimnástica Torrelavega	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Yeclano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	San Roque Lepe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Unión Adarve	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Quintanar del Rey	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Utrera	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Alfaro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Cirbonero	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Lleida Esportiu	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Hércules	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Manacor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Navalcarnero	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Manresa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Racing Rioja	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Cristo Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Almazán	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Lealtad	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Vimenor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	San Juan	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Alzira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Fuentes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Numancia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Ceuta 6 de Junio	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Alcora	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Amigó	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Rincón	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Huétor Tájar	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Las Rozas	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Cartagena	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Olot	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+9	9
4	Mallorca	3	3	0	0	+9	9
5	Celta	3	2	0	1	+6	6
6	Valladolid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Elche	3	2	0	1	+5	6
9	Sp Gijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Espanol	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Getafe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
14	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Albacete	2	1	1	0	+3	4
16	Cartagena	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Las Palmas	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	4
19	Levante	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Alcora	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Fuentes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	La Nucía	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	UD Logroñés	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+2	3
26	Pontevedra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Gimnastic	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Andorra	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Ibiza	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Oviedo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Tenerife	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Linares Deportivo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Intercity	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Granada	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Girona	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Huesca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Eldense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Mérida AD	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Dinamo San Juan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Real Murcia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Atlético Baleares	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Alcorcon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Rincón	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Leganes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
50	Burgos	2	0	1	1	-1	1
51	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Atlético Lugones	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Los Yébenes SB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Ponferradina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Turégano	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Amorebieta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ferrol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Lugo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Zaragoza	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Cardassar	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	La Coruna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Fuenlabrada	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Melilla CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.