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Champions League
Referee: D Orsato
Porto
S S T S U
2–1
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+0,2
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
60%
20%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 30%
20%
40%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 5
0 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Sep -22 Ath Madrid – Porto 2–1

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.