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Champions League
Referee: C Turpin
Ath Madrid
S U S U S
2–2
Full-time
Leverkusen
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,5
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 13%
25%
0%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

63% Possession 37%
23 Shots 13
10 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 9
11 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Sep -22 Leverkusen – Ath Madrid 2–0

Match report

Ath Madrid Leverkusen
9′
⚽ M. Diaby 0–1
A. Hložek
1–1 Y. Carrasco ⚽
A. Griezmann
22′
29′
⚽ C. Hudson-Odoi 1–2
N. Amiri
Half-time 1–2
R. De Paul 🔁
↦ Á. Correa
46′
Saúl 🔁
↦ Hermoso
46′
2–2 R. De Paul ⚽
Y. Carrasco
50′
Matheus Cunha 🔁
↦ Álvaro Morata
61′
61′
🔁 J. Tah
↦ E. Tapsoba
61′
🔁 A. Adli
↦ C. Hudson-Odoi
65′
🟨 Lukáš Hrádecký
66′
🟨 Mitchel Bakker
76′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ M. Diaby
78′
🟨 Piero Hincapié
José María Giménez 🟨
79′
Geoffrey Kondogbia 🟨
87′
João Félix 🔁
↦ J. Giménez
87′
89′
🔁 T. Fosu-Mensah
↦ A. Hložek
Geoffrey Kondogbia ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
97′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
16 N. Molina D
2 J. Giménez D
22 Hermoso D
23 Reinildo D
10 Á. Correa M
20 A. Witsel M
4 G. Kondogbia M
21 Y. Carrasco M
8 A. Griezmann F
19 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (10)
5 R. De Paul
17 Saúl
9 Matheus Cunha
7 João Félix
51 Sergio Mestre
15 S. Savić
34 Pablo Barrios
30 Sergio Díez
18 Felipe
1 I. Grbić

Coach: D. Simeone

Leverkusen

3-4-3
1 L. Hrádecký G
6 O. Kossounou D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 P. Hincapié D
30 J. Frimpong M
8 R. Andrich M
11 N. Amiri M
5 M. Bakker M
19 M. Diaby F
23 A. Hložek F
17 C. Hudson-Odoi F
Bench (8)
4 J. Tah
21 A. Adli
7 Paulinho
24 T. Fosu-Mensah
14 P. Schick
32 A. Azhil
40 A. Lunev
36 N. Lomb

Coach: Xabi Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Turpin · 184 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.