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La Liga

Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano

Vallecano

S U S T T

0–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 39%

26%

52%

Points per game

1,0

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

61%

26%

Both score Ø 52%

61%

43%

Average goals

2,9

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 18. · Ath Madrid 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	23	15	6	2	+37	51
2	Real Madrid	23	14	3	6	+13	45
3	Ath Madrid	23	12	8	3	+16	44
4	Sevilla	23	10	7	6	+13	37
5	Getafe	24	9	9	6	+9	36
6	Alaves	23	10	5	8	-3	35
7	Betis	23	9	5	9	-3	32
8	Valencia	23	6	13	4	+4	31
9	Sociedad	23	8	7	8	+2	31
10	Eibar	24	7	10	7	-1	31
11	Levante	24	8	6	10	-7	30
12	Leganes	23	7	8	8	-2	29
13	Espanol	23	8	4	11	-10	28
14	Ath Bilbao	23	5	12	6	-5	27
15	Valladolid	23	6	8	9	-9	26
16	Celta	24	6	6	12	-7	24
17	Girona	23	5	9	9	-10	24
18	Vallecano	23	6	5	12	-13	23
19	Villarreal	23	3	11	9	-8	20
20	Huesca	23	4	6	13	-16	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	12	9	2	1	+13	29
2	Barcelona	12	8	3	1	+23	27
3	Real Madrid	11	8	1	2	+13	25
4	Sevilla	11	7	3	1	+12	24
5	Eibar	13	6	5	2	+9	23
6	Alaves	11	6	4	1	+6	22
7	Betis	12	6	3	3	+2	21
8	Espanol	11	7	0	4	-1	21
9	Leganes	11	5	5	1	+6	20
10	Getafe	11	6	1	4	+9	19
11	Ath Bilbao	12	4	6	2	+0	18
12	Valencia	12	3	8	1	+6	17
13	Celta	13	4	4	5	+1	16
14	Levante	11	4	3	4	-4	15
15	Sociedad	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Vallecano	12	3	4	5	-6	13
17	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	-3	12
18	Girona	12	2	5	5	-7	11
19	Huesca	11	2	4	5	-3	10
20	Villarreal	12	1	6	5	-4	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	11	7	3	1	+14	24
2	Real Madrid	12	6	2	4	+0	20
3	Sociedad	12	5	3	4	+3	18
4	Getafe	13	3	8	2	+0	17
5	Ath Madrid	11	3	6	2	+3	15
6	Levante	13	4	3	6	-3	15
7	Valencia	11	3	5	3	-2	14
8	Valladolid	12	3	5	4	-6	14
9	Sevilla	12	3	4	5	+1	13
10	Girona	11	3	4	4	-3	13
11	Alaves	12	4	1	7	-9	13
12	Villarreal	11	2	5	4	-4	11
13	Betis	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	Vallecano	11	3	1	7	-7	10
15	Ath Bilbao	11	1	6	4	-5	9
16	Leganes	12	2	3	7	-8	9
17	Celta	11	2	2	7	-8	8
18	Eibar	11	1	5	5	-10	8
19	Huesca	12	2	2	8	-13	8
20	Espanol	12	1	4	7	-9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.