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La Liga

Referee: Jorge Figueroa

Ath Madrid

S T T T T

2–0

Full-time

Vallecano

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 47%

44%

50%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 53%

61%

44%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 5. · Vallecano 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	20	14	4	2	+24	46
2	Sevilla	18	11	5	2	+16	38
3	Betis	18	10	3	5	+11	33
4	Vallecano	18	9	3	6	+8	30
5	Ath Madrid	18	8	5	5	+7	29
6	Sociedad	18	8	5	5	+0	29
7	Barcelona	18	7	7	4	+7	28
8	Valencia	19	7	7	5	+3	28
9	Espanol	19	7	5	7	+0	26
10	Villarreal	18	6	7	5	+6	25
11	Ath Bilbao	19	5	9	5	+1	24
12	Granada	18	5	7	6	-3	22
13	Osasuna	18	5	7	6	-5	22
14	Celta	18	5	5	8	-2	20
15	Mallorca	18	4	8	6	-10	20
16	Getafe	19	4	6	9	-7	18
17	Elche	18	3	6	9	-9	15
18	Alaves	18	4	3	11	-14	15
19	Cadiz	18	2	8	8	-16	14
20	Levante	18	0	8	10	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	9	8	1	0	+16	25
2	Sevilla	9	7	2	0	+13	23
3	Real Madrid	9	6	3	0	+13	21
4	Barcelona	10	6	2	2	+8	20
5	Espanol	9	6	2	1	+7	20
6	Betis	9	5	2	2	+9	17
7	Villarreal	9	5	2	2	+8	17
8	Valencia	10	4	4	2	+5	16
9	Ath Madrid	8	4	3	1	+6	15
10	Sociedad	9	4	3	2	+0	15
11	Granada	9	4	2	3	+1	14
12	Ath Bilbao	10	4	2	4	+1	14
13	Getafe	10	4	2	4	+1	14
14	Mallorca	9	2	6	1	+1	12
15	Elche	8	2	4	2	-1	10
16	Alaves	9	3	1	5	-5	10
17	Celta	10	2	2	6	-4	8
18	Osasuna	9	1	5	3	-6	8
19	Levante	9	0	6	3	-6	6
20	Cadiz	9	0	5	4	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	8	1	2	+11	25
2	Betis	9	5	1	3	+2	16
3	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+3	15
4	Ath Madrid	10	4	2	4	+1	14
5	Osasuna	9	4	2	3	+1	14
6	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Celta	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Valencia	9	3	3	3	-2	12
9	Ath Bilbao	9	1	7	1	+0	10
10	Cadiz	9	2	3	4	-8	9
11	Barcelona	8	1	5	2	-1	8
12	Villarreal	9	1	5	3	-2	8
13	Granada	9	1	5	3	-4	8
14	Mallorca	9	2	2	5	-11	8
15	Espanol	10	1	3	6	-7	6
16	Elche	10	1	2	7	-8	5
17	Vallecano	9	1	2	6	-8	5
18	Alaves	9	1	2	6	-9	5
19	Getafe	9	0	4	5	-8	4
20	Levante	9	0	2	7	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.