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La Liga

Referee: Javier Estrada

Sevilla

S S S T U

1–0

Full-time

Valencia

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Valencia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 35/35 matches

Win Ø 45%

63%

26%

Points per game

2,0

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

34%

57%

Both score Ø 53%

40%

66%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

10 Shots 6

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 4. · Valencia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	35	23	8	4	+39	77
2	Barcelona	36	23	7	6	+47	76
3	Real Madrid	35	22	9	4	+34	75
4	Sevilla	35	22	5	8	+22	71
5	Sociedad	35	15	11	9	+18	56
6	Betis	35	15	9	11	-2	54
7	Villarreal	35	13	13	9	+11	52
8	Celta	35	12	11	12	-3	47
9	Ath Bilbao	35	11	13	11	+8	46
10	Granada	35	13	6	16	-13	45
11	Osasuna	36	11	11	14	-9	44
12	Cadiz	36	11	10	15	-20	43
13	Levante	36	9	13	14	-10	40
14	Valencia	35	9	12	14	-5	39
15	Alaves	36	8	11	17	-22	35
16	Getafe	35	8	10	17	-15	34
17	Valladolid	35	5	16	14	-17	31
18	Huesca	35	6	12	17	-19	30
19	Elche	36	6	12	18	-25	30
20	Eibar	35	6	11	18	-19	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	17	13	3	1	+28	42
2	Real Madrid	18	12	3	3	+19	39
3	Barcelona	18	11	5	2	+25	38
4	Sevilla	17	12	1	4	+14	37
5	Betis	18	9	5	4	+5	32
6	Ath Bilbao	18	8	6	4	+11	30
7	Sociedad	18	8	6	4	+10	30
8	Granada	17	9	3	5	+3	30
9	Valencia	18	7	7	4	+8	28
10	Villarreal	18	7	6	5	+2	27
11	Celta	17	8	3	6	+0	27
12	Osasuna	18	7	5	6	-1	26
13	Levante	18	5	8	5	-3	23
14	Getafe	18	5	6	7	+1	21
15	Alaves	18	5	6	7	-6	21
16	Elche	18	4	8	6	-7	20
17	Cadiz	18	5	5	8	-11	20
18	Huesca	17	4	6	7	-5	18
19	Valladolid	17	3	7	7	-8	16
20	Eibar	17	2	6	9	-8	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	12	2	4	+22	38
2	Real Madrid	17	10	6	1	+15	36
3	Ath Madrid	18	10	5	3	+11	35
4	Sevilla	18	10	4	4	+8	34
5	Sociedad	17	7	5	5	+8	26
6	Villarreal	17	6	7	4	+9	25
7	Cadiz	18	6	5	7	-9	23
8	Betis	17	6	4	7	-7	22
9	Celta	18	4	8	6	-3	20
10	Osasuna	18	4	6	8	-8	18
11	Levante	18	4	5	9	-7	17
12	Eibar	18	4	5	9	-11	17
13	Ath Bilbao	17	3	7	7	-3	16
14	Valladolid	18	2	9	7	-9	15
15	Granada	18	4	3	11	-16	15
16	Alaves	18	3	5	10	-16	14
17	Getafe	17	3	4	10	-16	13
18	Huesca	18	2	6	10	-14	12
19	Valencia	17	2	5	10	-13	11
20	Elche	18	2	4	12	-18	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.