La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sevilla
Levante
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | +35 | 46 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
20 | 11 | 8 | 1 | +17 | 41 |
| 3 |
Real Madrid
|
20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | +6 | 36 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | +9 | 33 |
| 5 |
Alaves
|
20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 32 |
| 6 |
Getafe
|
20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | +9 | 31 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +0 | 29 |
| 8 |
Sociedad
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +1 | 26 |
| 9 |
Valencia
|
20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | +1 | 26 |
| 10 |
Levante
|
20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 26 |
| 11 |
Eibar
|
20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | -4 | 25 |
| 12 |
Girona
|
20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | -3 | 24 |
| 13 |
Espanol
|
20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 |
Ath Bilbao
|
20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | -5 | 23 |
| 15 |
Leganes
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -6 | 22 |
| 16 |
Valladolid
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -6 | 22 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | -2 | 21 |
| 18 |
Vallecano
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -12 | 20 |
| 19 |
Villarreal
|
20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | -5 | 18 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -22 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Sergi Gómez
D
M. Wöber
D
André Silva
F
Coach: Pablo Machín
E. Bardhi
M
Borja Mayoral
F
Coach: Paco López
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Real Madrid
Sevilla
Ath Bilbao
Sevilla
Sevilla
Ath Madrid
Leganes
Sevilla
Sevilla
Girona
Javier Alberola Rojas · 70 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.