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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martínez
Ath Bilbao
U T T T U
1–1
Full-time
Barcelona
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,5
3,5
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
0,0
6,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
16 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 15. · Barcelona 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Valencia 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Mallorca 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Betis 2 0 2 0 +0 2
8 Cadiz 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Granada 2 0 2 0 +0 2
10 Espanol 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Villarreal 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Levante 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Osasuna 1 0 1 0 +0 1
14 Elche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Ath Bilbao 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Celta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Sociedad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
19 Vallecano 1 0 0 1 -3 0
20 Alaves 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Barcelona
Iñigo Martínez 🟨
20′
28′
🟨 Eric García
31′
🔁 R. Araújo
↦ Piqué
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Íñigo Martínez
Muniain
50′
62′
🔁 Sergi Roberto
↦ Pedri
62′
🔁 Y. Demir
↦ M. Braithwaite
Raúl García 🔁
↦ Oihan Sancet
67′
Mikel Vesga 🔁
↦ Unai Vencedor
67′
75′
M. Depay 1–1
Sergi Roberto
76′
🟨 Jordi Alba
Nico Williams 🔁
↦ Muniain
76′
Jon Morcillo 🔁
↦ Álex Berenguer
82′
Oier Zarraga 🔁
↦ Dani García
82′
82′
🔁 Emerson
↦ S. Dest
93′
🟥 Eric García
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-4-2
26 Julen Agirrezabala G
24 Balenziaga D
4 Íñigo Martínez D
15 Lekue D
28 Dani Vivian D
14 Dani García M
8 Oihan Sancet F
16 Unai Vencedor M
10 Muniain M
9 Williams F
7 Álex Berenguer M
Bench (10)
22 Raúl García
6 Mikel Vesga
30 Nico Williams
11 Jon Morcillo
19 Oier Zarraga
18 De Marcos
20 Asier Villalibre
3 Unai Núñez
33 Nico Serrano
13 Jokin Ezkieta

Coach: Marcelino

Barcelona

4-3-3
13 Neto G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
24 Eric García D
2 S. Dest D
5 Sergio Busquets M
21 F. de Jong M
16 Pedri M
7 A. Griezmann F
12 M. Braithwaite F
9 M. Depay F
Bench (12)
4 R. Araújo
20 Sergi Roberto
27 Y. Demir
22 Emerson
26 Iñaki Peña
14 R. Manaj
28 Nico González
6 Riqui Puig
31 Álex Baldé
30 Gavi
36 Arnau Tenas
15 C. Lenglet

Coach: R. Koeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,14
U ✓
3,63
B
1,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
2,00
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.