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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola

Villarreal

T S U S U

2–0

Full-time

Valladolid

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Valladolid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 22%

43%

Points per game

1,7

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

57%

29%

Both score Ø 57%

57%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,1

0,7

Conceded

1,1

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%

11 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 6. · Valladolid 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	8	5	2	1	+14	17
2	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Ath Madrid	6	4	2	0	+11	14
4	Cadiz	8	4	2	2	+2	14
5	Granada	7	4	2	1	+0	14
6	Villarreal	7	3	3	1	+0	12
7	Betis	8	4	0	4	-2	12
8	Getafe	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Osasuna	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Elche	6	3	1	2	-1	10
11	Ath Bilbao	7	3	0	4	-1	9
12	Barcelona	6	2	2	2	+4	8
13	Valencia	8	2	2	4	-2	8
14	Alaves	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Eibar	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Sevilla	6	2	1	3	+0	7
17	Celta	8	1	3	4	-9	6
18	Levante	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	Huesca	8	0	5	3	-8	5
20	Valladolid	7	0	3	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Granada	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Getafe	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+7	7
5	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+5	7
6	Real Madrid	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Betis	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Osasuna	4	2	0	2	-1	6
10	Valencia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Alaves	5	1	2	2	-2	5
12	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Elche	3	1	1	1	-2	4
14	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Celta	4	1	0	3	-7	3
16	Huesca	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Valladolid	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Cadiz	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Eibar	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Levante	2	0	1	1	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	4	4	0	0	+6	12
2	Sociedad	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Elche	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Eibar	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Betis	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Osasuna	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Sevilla	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Levante	5	1	1	3	-3	4
12	Granada	3	1	1	1	-4	4
13	Alaves	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Valencia	4	1	0	3	-2	3
15	Celta	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Ath Bilbao	4	1	0	3	-3	3
17	Huesca	5	0	3	2	-6	3
18	Getafe	3	0	2	1	-3	2
19	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-4	2
20	Valladolid	3	0	1	2	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.