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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Osasuna

U T T T T

1–4

Full-time

Villarreal

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

2,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 23%

42%

Points per game

0,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

63%

33%

Both score Ø 53%

63%

42%

Average goals

3,3

2,1

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

45% Possession 55%

17 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

2 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 20. · Villarreal 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	23	17	4	2	+38	55
2	Barcelona	24	16	6	2	+45	54
3	Sevilla	24	16	4	4	+19	52
4	Ath Madrid	24	13	6	5	+23	45
5	Sociedad	25	14	3	8	+5	45
6	Villarreal	24	10	9	5	+14	39
7	Eibar	25	11	6	8	+8	39
8	Ath Bilbao	24	11	5	8	+2	38
9	Espanol	24	9	8	7	+2	35
10	Celta	23	10	4	9	+0	34
11	Alaves	24	8	9	7	-5	33
12	Valencia	25	8	5	12	-8	29
13	Las Palmas	24	7	7	10	-4	28
14	Betis	24	7	6	11	-13	27
15	Malaga	25	6	8	11	-10	26
16	Leganes	25	5	6	14	-20	21
17	La Coruna	23	4	7	12	-13	19
18	Sp Gijon	24	4	5	15	-22	17
19	Granada	24	3	7	14	-30	16
20	Osasuna	24	1	7	16	-31	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	10	2	0	+21	32
2	Ath Bilbao	13	9	3	1	+11	30
3	Sevilla	11	9	1	1	+12	28
4	Ath Madrid	12	8	2	2	+15	26
5	Eibar	13	8	2	3	+9	26
6	Barcelona	11	7	3	1	+20	24
7	Villarreal	13	7	3	3	+11	24
8	Celta	11	8	0	3	+6	24
9	Sociedad	13	7	3	3	+4	24
10	Las Palmas	13	6	5	2	+9	23
11	Espanol	13	5	5	3	+6	20
12	Malaga	12	6	2	4	+3	20
13	Betis	13	4	6	3	-1	18
14	Valencia	12	5	2	5	-4	17
15	Alaves	12	3	6	3	-6	15
16	La Coruna	10	4	2	4	+4	14
17	Granada	11	3	4	4	+0	13
18	Sp Gijon	12	3	2	7	-12	11
19	Leganes	12	2	4	6	-6	10
20	Osasuna	12	0	4	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+25	30
2	Sevilla	13	7	3	3	+7	24
3	Real Madrid	11	7	2	2	+17	23
4	Sociedad	12	7	0	5	+1	21
5	Ath Madrid	12	5	4	3	+8	19
6	Alaves	12	5	3	4	+1	18
7	Villarreal	11	3	6	2	+3	15
8	Espanol	11	4	3	4	-4	15
9	Eibar	12	3	4	5	-1	13
10	Valencia	13	3	3	7	-4	12
11	Leganes	13	3	2	8	-14	11
12	Celta	12	2	4	6	-6	10
13	Betis	11	3	0	8	-12	9
14	Ath Bilbao	11	2	2	7	-9	8
15	Sp Gijon	12	1	3	8	-10	6
16	Malaga	13	0	6	7	-13	6
17	Osasuna	12	1	3	8	-17	6
18	Las Palmas	11	1	2	8	-13	5
19	La Coruna	13	0	5	8	-17	5
20	Granada	13	0	3	10	-30	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.