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La Liga
Referee: Carlos Del Cerro
Sociedad
S T S U T
4–1
Full-time
Eibar
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,5
This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
50%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
57%
57%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%
15 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 6. · Eibar 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 14 9 4 1 +19 31
2 Barcelona 13 9 1 3 +19 28
3 Sevilla 14 8 3 3 +4 27
4 Ath Madrid 14 6 7 1 +7 25
5 Ath Bilbao 14 6 5 3 +6 23
6 Sociedad 14 7 2 5 +5 23
7 Getafe 14 5 6 3 +3 21
8 Granada 14 6 3 5 +2 21
9 Levante 14 6 2 6 +1 20
10 Valencia 14 5 5 4 +0 20
11 Osasuna 14 4 7 3 +2 19
12 Villarreal 14 5 3 6 +5 18
13 Alaves 15 5 3 7 -3 18
14 Valladolid 15 4 6 5 -4 18
15 Betis 14 4 4 6 -7 16
16 Eibar 14 4 3 7 -9 15
17 Mallorca 14 4 2 8 -8 14
18 Celta 15 3 4 8 -10 13
19 Espanol 14 2 3 9 -16 9
20 Leganes 14 1 3 10 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Eibar
R. Le Normand 🔁
↦ Elustondo
9′
24′
🟨 Iván Ramis
1–0 R. Le Normand
M. Ødegaard
25′
35′
P. Diop 1–1
T. Inui
Joseba Zaldúa 🟨
41′
45′
🟨 Papakouli Diop
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Mikel Oyarzabal
47′
3–1 Willian José
Llorente
57′
61′
🔁 Kike
↦ T. Inui
61′
🔁 Quique González
↦ Pedro León
A. Isak 🔁
↦ Willian José
66′
72′
🟨 Paulo Oliveira
76′
🟨 Gonzalo Escalante
Barrenetxea 🔁
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
79′
4–1 M. Ødegaard
Portu
80′
81′
🔁 Edu Expósito
↦ P. Diop
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
6 Aritz Elustondo D
3 Diego Llorente D
20 Nacho Monreal D
21 Martin Ødegaard M
5 Igor Zubeldia M
8 Mikel Merino M
7 Portu F
9 Willian José F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (7)
13 Miguel Ángel Moyà
24 Robin Le Normand
12 Aihen Muñoz
16 Ander Guevara
11 Adnan Januzaj
19 Alexander Isak
22 Ander Barrenetxea

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 Marko Dmitrović G
16 Pablo De Blasis D
12 Paulo Oliveira D
4 Iván Ramis D
15 José Ángel D
5 Gonzalo Escalante M
8 Papakouli Diop M
14 Fabián Orellana M
22 Takashi Inui M
21 Pedro León M
19 Charles Días F
Bench (7)
13 Yoel Rodríguez
3 Pedro Bigas
20 Róber
10 Edu Expósito
17 Kike
9 Sergi Enrich
7 Quique

Coach: Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
3,84
B
4,93
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,90
U2,5
1,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos Del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.