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Serie A

Referee: L Pairetto

Fiorentina

S S U T S

1–1

Full-time

Parma

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Parma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

This season — Serie A · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

70%

50%

Both score Ø 60%

70%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

15 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 5

15 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 8. · Parma 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	11	9	2	0	+10	29
2	Inter	11	9	1	1	+13	28
3	Roma	11	6	4	1	+8	22
4	Atalanta	11	6	3	2	+12	21
5	Cagliari	11	6	3	2	+8	21
6	Lazio	10	5	3	2	+12	18
7	Napoli	11	5	3	3	+6	18
8	Fiorentina	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Verona	11	4	3	4	+0	15
10	Parma	10	4	1	5	+1	13
11	Milan	10	4	1	5	-3	13
12	Udinese	11	4	1	6	-10	13
13	Bologna	11	3	3	5	-2	12
14	Torino	11	3	2	6	-6	11
15	Sassuolo	10	3	1	6	-2	10
16	Lecce	11	2	4	5	-8	10
17	Genoa	11	2	2	7	-12	8
18	Brescia	10	2	1	7	-6	7
19	Spal	10	2	1	7	-10	7
20	Sampdoria	10	1	2	7	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	5	5	0	0	+6	15
2	Lazio	5	3	2	0	+10	11
3	Roma	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Inter	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Napoli	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	Cagliari	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Parma	6	3	0	3	+2	9
8	Udinese	6	3	0	3	-4	9
9	Verona	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Torino	6	2	2	2	+0	8
11	Atalanta	5	2	1	2	+5	7
12	Fiorentina	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Bologna	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Genoa	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Spal	5	2	1	2	-1	7
16	Milan	5	2	1	2	-2	7
17	Sassuolo	5	2	0	3	+1	6
18	Sampdoria	5	1	2	2	-4	5
19	Lecce	5	0	2	3	-5	2
20	Brescia	4	0	1	3	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	6	6	0	0	+8	18
2	Atalanta	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Juventus	6	4	2	0	+4	14
4	Roma	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Cagliari	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Napoli	6	2	2	2	+2	8
7	Fiorentina	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Lecce	6	2	2	2	-3	8
9	Lazio	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Verona	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Milan	5	2	0	3	-1	6
12	Brescia	6	2	0	4	-3	6
13	Bologna	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Parma	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Sassuolo	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Udinese	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Torino	5	1	0	4	-6	3
18	Genoa	5	0	1	4	-11	1
19	Sampdoria	5	0	0	5	-9	0
20	Spal	5	0	0	5	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.