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Pro League

Referee: Jonathan Lardot

Mechelen

S S S S T

2–2

Full-time

Charleroi

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,8

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,8

This season — Pro League · 15/14 matches

Win Ø 55%

53%

57%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

80%

57%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,4

2,6

Scored

1,9

1,6

Conceded

1,5

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

60% Possession 40%

11 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Mechelen 6. · Charleroi 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	12	3	0	+31	39
2	Standard	16	10	3	3	+20	33
3	Gent	15	8	4	3	+13	28
4	Charleroi	14	8	3	3	+10	27
5	Genk	16	8	3	5	+7	27
6	Mechelen	15	8	3	4	+5	27
7	Waregem	16	7	5	4	+6	26
8	Antwerp	15	7	3	5	+7	24
9	Mouscron	14	5	5	4	+2	20
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	5	5	4	+2	20
11	St Truiden	16	5	5	6	-9	20
12	Anderlecht	16	4	7	5	+0	19
13	Eupen	16	4	5	7	-14	17
14	Kortrijk	15	4	2	9	-5	14
15	Oostende	15	3	2	10	-14	11
16	Cercle Brugge	16	2	2	12	-23	8
17	Waasland-Beveren	14	1	4	9	-19	7
18	Beveren	14	1	4	9	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	9	8	1	0	+19	25
2	Gent	8	8	0	0	+19	24
3	Genk	8	6	1	1	+5	19
4	Antwerp	6	5	1	0	+12	16
5	Club Brugge	7	4	3	0	+14	15
6	Mouscron	7	4	2	1	+6	14
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	7	4	2	1	+6	14
8	Waregem	7	4	1	2	+8	13
9	Anderlecht	9	3	4	2	+3	13
10	Charleroi	7	4	1	2	+0	13
11	Kortrijk	7	3	2	2	+6	11
12	Mechelen	7	3	2	2	+0	11
13	St Truiden	9	2	5	2	+0	11
14	Cercle Brugge	9	2	2	5	-8	8
15	Oostende	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Eupen	8	1	4	3	-5	7
17	Waasland-Beveren	7	1	1	5	-11	4
18	Beveren	7	1	1	5	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	8	0	0	+17	24
2	Mechelen	8	5	1	2	+5	16
3	Charleroi	7	4	2	1	+10	14
4	Waregem	9	3	4	2	-2	13
5	Eupen	8	3	1	4	-9	10
6	St Truiden	7	3	0	4	-9	9
7	Genk	8	2	2	4	+2	8
8	Standard	7	2	2	3	+1	8
9	Antwerp	9	2	2	5	-5	8
10	Anderlecht	7	1	3	3	-3	6
11	Mouscron	7	1	3	3	-4	6
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	Gent	7	0	4	3	-6	4
14	Oostende	8	1	1	6	-10	4
15	Waasland-Beveren	7	0	3	4	-8	3
16	Beveren	7	0	3	4	-8	3
17	Kortrijk	8	1	0	7	-11	3
18	Cercle Brugge	7	0	0	7	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.