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La Liga
Referee: Javier Estrada
Villarreal
T U S S T
5–1
Full-time
Betis
T S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
17 Shots 11
10 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 7
6 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 8. · Betis 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 6 4 2 0 +6 14
2 Sociedad 6 4 1 1 +6 13
3 Ath Madrid 6 4 1 1 +3 13
4 Ath Bilbao 6 3 3 0 +5 12
5 Granada 6 3 2 1 +6 11
6 Barcelona 6 3 1 2 +4 10
7 Sevilla 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Villarreal 6 2 2 2 +3 8
9 Betis 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Getafe 6 1 4 1 +1 7
11 Levante 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Osasuna 6 1 4 1 -1 7
13 Valencia 6 1 3 2 -2 6
14 Valladolid 6 1 3 2 -3 6
15 Celta 6 1 3 2 -3 6
16 Eibar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
17 Alaves 6 1 2 3 -5 5
18 Espanol 6 1 2 3 -6 5
19 Mallorca 6 1 1 4 -6 4
20 Leganes 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Betis
Moi Gómez 🟨
22′
1–0 K. Toko Ekambi
Santi Cazorla
39′
Half-time 1–1
48′
Emerson 1–1
Borja Iglesias
53′
🟨 Joaquín
S. Chukwueze 🔁
↦ Moi Gómez
57′
Xavier Quintilla 🟨
63′
66′
🟨 Zouhair Feddal
2–1 Santi Cazorla
68′
75′
🔁 Tello
↦ Pedraza
3–1 K. Toko Ekambi
Gerard Moreno
76′
79′
🔁 D. Lainez
↦ Joaquín
79′
🔁 Raúl García
↦ Loren Morón
Javi Ontiveros 🔁
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
80′
Manu Trigueros 🔁
↦ Santi Cazorla
85′
4–1 Gerard Moreno
Manu Trigueros
92′
5–1 S. Chukwueze
Rubén Peña
94′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Asenjo G
20 Rubén Peña D
3 Raúl Albiol D
4 Pau Torres D
16 Xavier Quintilla D
10 Vicente Iborra M
19 André Zambo Anguissa M
7 Gerard Moreno M
8 Santi Cazorla M
23 Moi Gómez M
17 Karl Toko Ekambi F
Bench (7)
13 Andrés Fernández
6 Ramiro Funes Mori
2 Mario Gaspar
14 Manu Trigueros
11 Samuel Chukwueze
24 Javier Ontiveros
9 Carlos Bacca

Coach: Javi Calleja

Betis

4-4-2
1 Joel Robles G
22 Emerson D
5 Marc Bartra D
4 Zouhair Feddal D
6 Alfonso Pedraza D
17 Joaquín M
14 William Carvalho M
10 Sergio Canales M
15 Alex Moreno M
16 Loren Moron F
9 Borja Iglesias F
Bench (7)
13 Dani Martín
23 Aïssa Mandi
18 Andrés Guardado
3 Javi García
20 Diego Lainez
11 Cristian Tello
35 Raul García

Coach: Rubí

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,82
B
4,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Estrada · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.