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Süper Lig
Referee: H Özkahya
Kasimpasa
S S T U S
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Yeni Malatyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,8
This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
56%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
44%
78%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,3
2,4
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
19 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Kasimpasa 12. · Yeni Malatyaspor 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 10 5 4 1 +8 19
2 Sivasspor 10 5 3 2 +7 18
3 Fenerbahce 9 5 2 2 +9 17
4 Yeni Malatyaspor 9 5 1 3 +12 16
5 Trabzonspor 10 4 4 2 +6 16
6 Buyuksehyr 10 4 4 2 +4 16
7 Galatasaray 10 4 4 2 +2 16
8 Besiktas 10 4 3 3 +0 15
9 Konyaspor 10 3 4 3 -2 13
10 Goztep 10 3 3 4 -2 12
11 Gaziantep 9 3 3 3 -4 12
12 Kasimpasa 9 3 2 4 -1 11
13 Denizlispor 10 3 2 5 -3 11
14 Antalyaspor 10 3 2 5 -8 11
15 Rizespor 10 3 2 5 -8 11
16 Ankaragücü 9 2 3 4 -7 9
17 Genclerbirligi 10 1 4 5 -2 7
18 Kayserispor 9 0 4 5 -11 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,24
U ✓
3,67
B
2,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,40
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Özkahya · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.