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Bundesliga

Referee: S Jablonski

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T T T S T

2–0

Full-time

FC Koln

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,7

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 22%

22%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

67%

78%

Both score Ø 67%

78%

56%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,0

Conceded

1,8

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%

9 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 20

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 15. · FC Koln 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	10	7	1	2	+11	22
2	Dortmund	10	5	4	1	+12	19
3	RB Leipzig	10	5	3	2	+15	18
4	Bayern Munich	10	5	3	2	+9	18
5	Freiburg	10	5	3	2	+7	18
6	Ein Frankfurt	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Wolfsburg	10	4	5	1	+3	17
8	Hoffenheim	10	5	2	3	+1	17
9	Schalke 04	9	4	3	2	+5	15
10	Leverkusen	10	4	3	3	+0	15
11	Hertha	10	3	2	5	-2	11
12	Werder Bremen	10	2	5	3	-4	11
13	Union Berlin	10	3	1	6	-5	10
14	Mainz	10	3	0	7	-17	9
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	2	1	6	-6	7
16	FC Koln	9	2	1	6	-10	7
17	Augsburg	9	1	4	4	-11	7
18	Paderborn	10	1	1	8	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	6	4	2	0	+9	14
2	Dortmund	5	4	1	0	+12	13
3	Bayern Munich	5	3	1	1	+9	10
4	M'gladbach	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Leverkusen	6	2	3	1	+2	9
6	Wolfsburg	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	Hoffenheim	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Union Berlin	6	3	0	3	-1	9
9	RB Leipzig	5	2	2	1	+7	8
10	Freiburg	5	2	2	1	+3	8
11	Schalke 04	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	Mainz	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Hertha	4	2	0	2	-1	6
14	Augsburg	4	1	2	1	-2	5
15	Werder Bremen	5	1	2	2	-4	5
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	FC Koln	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Paderborn	5	1	0	4	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	M'gladbach	5	4	0	1	+6	12
2	RB Leipzig	5	3	1	1	+8	10
3	Freiburg	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Hoffenheim	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Wolfsburg	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Bayern Munich	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Schalke 04	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Werder Bremen	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Dortmund	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Leverkusen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Hertha	6	1	2	3	-1	5
12	FC Koln	5	1	1	3	-6	4
13	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	0	4	-4	3
15	Mainz	6	1	0	5	-17	3
16	Augsburg	5	0	2	3	-9	2
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Paderborn	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.