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Süper Lig

Referee: A Kardeşler

Kayserispor

U T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Fenerbahce

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Fenerbahce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,5

This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 28%

56%

Points per game

0,4

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

56%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

0,9

2,0

Conceded

2,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%

11 Shots 23

1 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 8

3 Offside 5

19 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 18. · Fenerbahce 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	10	5	4	1	+8	19
2	Sivasspor	10	5	3	2	+7	18
3	Yeni Malatyaspor	10	5	2	3	+12	17
4	Fenerbahce	9	5	2	2	+9	17
5	Trabzonspor	10	4	4	2	+6	16
6	Buyuksehyr	10	4	4	2	+4	16
7	Galatasaray	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	Besiktas	10	4	3	3	+0	15
9	Konyaspor	10	3	4	3	-2	13
10	Kasimpasa	10	3	3	4	-1	12
11	Goztep	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Gaziantep	9	3	3	3	-4	12
13	Denizlispor	10	3	2	5	-3	11
14	Antalyaspor	10	3	2	5	-8	11
15	Rizespor	10	3	2	5	-8	11
16	Ankaragücü	9	2	3	4	-7	9
17	Genclerbirligi	10	1	4	5	-2	7
18	Kayserispor	9	0	4	5	-11	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sivasspor	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Alanyaspor	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Besiktas	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Galatasaray	5	3	2	0	+4	11
5	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	3	1	1	+10	10
6	Fenerbahce	5	3	1	1	+9	10
7	Trabzonspor	5	3	1	1	+6	10
8	Buyuksehyr	5	2	2	1	+5	8
9	Gaziantep	5	2	2	1	+3	8
10	Goztep	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Rizespor	5	2	1	2	+1	7
12	Konyaspor	5	1	3	1	-1	6
13	Kasimpasa	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Ankaragücü	4	1	2	1	-3	5
15	Antalyaspor	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	Denizlispor	5	1	0	4	-3	3
17	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Genclerbirligi	5	0	2	3	-4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	5	2	2	1	+0	8
2	Denizlispor	5	2	2	1	+0	8
3	Buyuksehyr	5	2	2	1	-1	8
4	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	2	1	2	+2	7
5	Kasimpasa	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Fenerbahce	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Konyaspor	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Trabzonspor	5	1	3	1	+0	6
10	Genclerbirligi	5	1	2	2	+2	5
11	Sivasspor	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Galatasaray	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Goztep	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Ankaragücü	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Besiktas	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	Gaziantep	4	1	1	2	-7	4
17	Rizespor	5	1	1	3	-9	4
18	Kayserispor	5	0	2	3	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.