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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martínez
Osasuna
T S T S U
2–2
Full-time
Barcelona
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,5
4,0
Scored
0,5
2,5
Conceded
0,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

25% Possession 75%
15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osasuna 6. · Barcelona 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Bilbao 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +3 7
3 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Real Madrid 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Valladolid 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Osasuna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Alaves 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Celta 3 1 1 1 -1 4
9 Sociedad 3 1 1 1 -1 4
10 Barcelona 2 1 0 1 +2 3
11 Mallorca 2 1 0 1 +0 3
12 Levante 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Villarreal 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Granada 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Valencia 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Eibar 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Getafe 2 0 1 1 -1 1
18 Espanol 2 0 1 1 -2 1
19 Leganes 2 0 0 2 -2 0
20 Betis 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Barcelona
1–0 Roberto Torres
Brandon
7′
Fran Mérida 🟨
13′
32′
🟨 Sergi Roberto
37′
🟨 Frenkie de Jong
Brandon 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Ansu Fati
↦ Nélson Semedo
51′
Ansu Fati 1–1
Carles Pérez
53′
🔁 Arthur
↦ Rafinha
64′
Arthur 1–2
Carles Pérez
Robert Ibáñez 🔁
↦ Rubén García
65′
Moncayola 🔁
↦ Fran Mérida
71′
Juan Villar 🔁
↦ Brandon
78′
2–2 Roberto Torres
81′
82′
🟨 Gerard Piqué
82′
🔁 A. Vidal
↦ F. de Jong
Jon Moncayola 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Osasuna

4-4-2
13 Rubén Martínez G
2 Nacho Vidal D
23 Aridane Hernandez D
5 David García D
30 Pervis Estupinan D
10 Roberto Torres M
8 Fran Mérida M
6 Oier M
14 Rubén García M
11 Brandon F
9 Chimy Ávila F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Herrera
12 Facundo Roncaglia
20 Darko Brašanac
27 Jon Moncayola
17 Robert Ibáñez
22 Adrián López
18 Juan Villar

Coach: Arrasate

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 Marc-André ter Stegen G
2 Nélson Semedo D
3 Gerard Piqué D
15 Clément Lenglet D
18 Jordi Alba D
20 Sergi Roberto M
5 Sergio Busquets M
21 Frenkie de Jong M
27 Carles Pérez F
17 Antoine Griezmann F
12 Rafinha Alcántara F
Bench (7)
26 Iñaki Peña
16 Moussa Wagué
23 Samuel Umtiti
8 Arthur
4 Ivan Rakitić
22 Arturo Vidal
31 Anssumane Fati

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
9,52
U ✓
4,86
B
1,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,11
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.