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La Liga

Referee: Carlos Velasco Carballo

Barcelona

S U U S U

4–0

Full-time

Granada

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

0,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 17/18 matches

Win Ø 47%

71%

22%

Points per game

2,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

71%

56%

Both score Ø 60%

53%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

2,4

1,1

Conceded

0,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

66% Possession 34%

17 Shots 8

8 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 0

1 Offside 3

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Granada 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	18	13	2	3	+17	41
2	Barcelona	17	12	3	2	+25	39
3	Real Madrid	18	11	4	3	+29	37
4	Villarreal	18	11	3	4	+8	36
5	Celta	18	9	4	5	+3	31
6	Ath Bilbao	18	8	4	6	+7	28
7	La Coruna	18	6	9	3	+8	27
8	Eibar	18	7	6	5	+6	27
9	Sevilla	18	7	5	6	+3	26
10	Valencia	18	5	8	5	+6	23
11	Malaga	18	6	5	7	-1	23
12	Espanol	18	6	3	9	-12	21
13	Getafe	18	5	5	8	-7	20
14	Betis	18	5	5	8	-14	20
15	Sociedad	18	4	5	9	-7	17
16	Las Palmas	18	4	5	9	-8	17
17	Granada	18	4	5	9	-12	17
18	Sp Gijon	17	4	3	10	-11	15
19	Vallecano	18	4	3	11	-21	15
20	Levante	18	2	5	11	-19	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	9	8	1	0	+21	25
2	Real Madrid	9	7	1	1	+20	22
3	Villarreal	9	7	1	1	+8	22
4	Ath Madrid	9	7	1	1	+7	22
5	Sevilla	9	7	0	2	+9	21
6	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	17
7	Valencia	9	3	6	0	+7	15
8	Getafe	9	4	3	2	+7	15
9	Malaga	9	4	3	2	+5	15
10	Eibar	9	4	3	2	+3	15
11	Espanol	9	4	3	2	-2	15
12	Las Palmas	9	4	2	3	+3	14
13	Celta	9	4	2	3	+1	14
14	La Coruna	9	3	4	2	+5	13
15	Vallecano	10	3	2	5	-5	11
16	Sp Gijon	8	2	2	4	-3	8
17	Sociedad	8	2	2	4	-3	8
18	Granada	9	2	2	5	-8	8
19	Levante	9	1	3	5	-7	6
20	Betis	9	1	3	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	9	6	1	2	+10	19
2	Celta	9	5	2	2	+2	17
3	Real Madrid	9	4	3	2	+9	15
4	Barcelona	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	La Coruna	9	3	5	1	+3	14
6	Villarreal	9	4	2	3	+0	14
7	Betis	9	4	2	3	-5	14
8	Eibar	9	3	3	3	+3	12
9	Ath Bilbao	9	3	2	4	-1	11
10	Sociedad	10	2	3	5	-4	9
11	Granada	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	Valencia	9	2	2	5	-1	8
13	Malaga	9	2	2	5	-6	8
14	Sp Gijon	9	2	1	6	-8	7
15	Espanol	9	2	0	7	-10	6
16	Sevilla	9	0	5	4	-6	5
17	Levante	9	1	2	6	-12	5
18	Getafe	9	1	2	6	-14	5
19	Vallecano	8	1	1	6	-16	4
20	Las Palmas	9	0	3	6	-11	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.