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Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Hoffenheim
T T T S T
2–2
Full-time
Ein Frankfurt
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Ein Frankfurt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
22%
61%
Points per game
0,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,42 xG 2,39
50% Possession 50%
24 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 15. · Ein Frankfurt 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 19 15 3 1 +42 +34.6 48
2 Leverkusen 19 12 6 1 +20 +17.3 42
3 Ein Frankfurt 18 11 3 4 +18 +8.3 36
4 Stuttgart 19 9 5 5 +8 +10.7 32
5 RB Leipzig 19 9 5 5 +5 -6.4 32
6 Mainz 19 9 4 6 +10 -0.1 31
7 Wolfsburg 19 8 4 7 +8 -2.0 28
8 M'gladbach 19 8 3 8 +1 -4.3 27
9 Werder Bremen 19 7 6 6 -3 +0.4 27
10 Freiburg 19 8 3 8 -10 -2.1 27
11 Dortmund 19 7 5 7 +1 +2.3 26
12 Augsburg 19 7 4 8 -11 -6.7 25
13 Union Berlin 18 5 5 8 -8 -4.4 20
14 St Pauli 18 5 2 11 -7 -4.9 17
15 Hoffenheim 18 4 5 9 -12 -9.6 17
16 Heidenheim 19 4 2 13 -16 -5.5 14
17 Holstein Kiel 19 3 3 13 -20 -11.6 12
18 Bochum 19 2 4 13 -26 -15.9 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Ein Frankfurt
24′
ℹ️ Hugo Ekitiké
VAR: Penalty confirmed
26′
H. Ekitiké 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Arthur Chaves 🟨
58′
Adam Hložek ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
61′
62′
🔁 F. Chaïbi
↦ M. Götze
62′
🔁 Tuta
↦ C. Uzun
G. Orban 🔁
↦ M. Moerstedt
63′
1–1 G. Orban
A. Hložek
65′
71′
H. Ekitiké 1–2
R. Kristensen
P. Kadeřábek 🔁
↦ V. Gendrey
76′
M. Bülter 🔁
↦ F. Becker
77′
82′
🔁 I. Matanović
↦ H. Ekitiké
Anton Stach 🟨
83′
D. Geiger 🔁
↦ T. Bischof
84′
93′
🔁 T. Chandler
↦ H. Larsson
93′
🔁 J. Bahoya
↦ A. Knauff
2–2 A. Hložek
A. Kramarić
95′
Adam Hložek 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1
37 L. Philipp G
15 V. Gendrey D
35 Arthur Chaves D
25 K. Akpoguma D
19 D. Jurásek D
16 A. Stach M
20 F. Becker M
23 A. Hložek M
27 A. Kramarić M
7 T. Bischof M
33 M. Moerstedt F
Bench (9)
14 G. Orban
3 P. Kadeřábek
21 M. Bülter
8 D. Geiger
56 T. Philipp
2 R. Hranáč
52 D. Mokwa
28 F. Micheler
34 S. Nsoki

Coach: C. Ilzer

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
34 N. Collins D
4 R. Koch D
3 A. Theate D
13 R. Kristensen M
15 E. Skhiri M
16 H. Larsson M
36 A. Knauff M
27 M. Götze F
20 C. Uzun F
11 H. Ekitiké F
Bench (9)
8 F. Chaïbi
35 Tuta
9 I. Matanović
22 T. Chandler
19 J. Bahoya
5 A. Amenda
38 E. İş
40 Kauã Santos
29 N. Nkounkou

Coach: D. Toppmöller

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,08
U ✓
3,59
B
2,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,23
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.