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Bundesliga
Referee: B Brand
Ein Frankfurt
S S S U T
1–1
Full-time
Wolfsburg
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Wolfsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 50%
58%
42%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
68%
74%
Both score Ø 74%
68%
79%
Average goals
3,7
4,0
Scored
2,3
2,2
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,17 xG 1,17
62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 3. · Wolfsburg 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 20 16 3 1 +43 +36.2 51
2 Leverkusen 19 12 6 1 +20 +17.3 42
3 Ein Frankfurt 19 11 4 4 +18 +8.3 37
4 RB Leipzig 20 9 6 5 +5 -7.5 33
5 Stuttgart 20 9 5 6 +7 +9.9 32
6 Mainz 20 9 4 7 +9 -1.5 31
7 M'gladbach 20 9 3 8 +2 -3.5 30
8 Werder Bremen 20 8 6 6 -2 +1.8 30
9 Freiburg 20 9 3 8 -9 -1.4 30
10 Dortmund 20 8 5 7 +2 +4.1 29
11 Wolfsburg 19 8 4 7 +8 -2.0 28
12 Augsburg 20 7 5 8 -11 -7.1 26
13 St Pauli 20 6 3 11 -4 -4.3 21
14 Union Berlin 20 5 6 9 -11 -3.5 21
15 Hoffenheim 19 4 6 9 -12 -9.6 18
16 Heidenheim 20 4 2 14 -17 -7.3 14
17 Holstein Kiel 20 3 3 14 -21 -13.2 12
18 Bochum 20 2 4 14 -27 -16.7 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Wolfsburg
R. Kristensen 🔁
↦ R. Koch
15′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🟨 Joakim Mæhle
50′
Tuta 1–0
own goal
J. Bahoya 🔁
↦ A. Knauff
57′
H. Larsson 🔁
↦ O. Højlund
57′
66′
🔁 M. Müller
↦ K. Grabara
C. Uzun 🔁
↦ E. Skhiri
68′
N. Nkounkou 🔁
↦ N. Brown
68′
71′
🟨 Mattias Svanberg
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya 🟨
72′
75′
🔁 B. Dárdai
↦ M. Svanberg
75′
🔁 M. Roerslev
↦ Tiago Tomás
2–0 C. Uzun
J. Bahoya
81′
85′
🔁 K. Behrens
↦ J. Wind
85′
🔁 L. Nmecha
↦ M. Amoura
97′
🟨 Yannick Gerhardt
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

3-4-2-1
1 K. Trapp G
35 Tuta D
4 R. Koch D
3 A. Theate D
34 N. Collins M
15 E. Skhiri M
6 O. Højlund M
21 N. Brown M
27 M. Götze F
36 A. Knauff F
11 H. Ekitiké F
Bench (9)
13 R. Kristensen
19 J. Bahoya
16 H. Larsson
20 C. Uzun
29 N. Nkounkou
8 F. Chaïbi
40 Kauã Santos
18 Mahmoud Dahoud
22 T. Chandler

Coach: D. Toppmöller

Wolfsburg

4-1-3-2
1 K. Grabara G
2 K. Fischer D
18 D. Vavro D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 J. Mæhle D
27 M. Arnold M
11 Tiago Tomás M
32 M. Svanberg M
31 Y. Gerhardt M
23 J. Wind F
9 M. Amoura F
Bench (9)
29 M. Müller
24 B. Dárdai
5 M. Roerslev
17 K. Behrens
10 L. Nmecha
16 J. Kamiński
7 A. Skov Olsen
3 S. Bornauw
6 A. Vranckx

Coach: R. Hasenhüttl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,96
U ✓
3,82
B
3,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,52
U2,5 ✓
2,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Brand · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.