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Bundesliga
Referee: B Dankert
Hertha
U U T S T
2–3
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
17%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
4,5
Scored
1,3
3,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+3,2
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
17%
58%
Points per game
0,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
42%
58%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,6
4,0
Scored
1,2
3,2
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–3

28% Possession 72%
7 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 7
6 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 14. · Bayern Munich 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 12 8 2 2 +12 26
2 Bayern Munich 12 7 4 1 +28 25
3 Freiburg 12 7 3 2 +5 24
4 Dortmund 12 7 1 4 +5 22
5 Ein Frankfurt 12 6 2 4 +5 20
6 RB Leipzig 12 5 4 3 +4 19
7 M'gladbach 13 5 4 4 +3 19
8 Hoffenheim 12 5 3 4 +5 18
9 Werder Bremen 12 5 3 4 +3 18
10 Mainz 12 5 3 4 -1 18
11 FC Koln 12 4 5 3 -3 17
12 Wolfsburg 12 3 5 4 -2 14
13 Augsburg 12 4 2 6 -6 14
14 Hertha 12 2 5 5 -3 11
15 Stuttgart 13 2 5 6 -8 11
16 Leverkusen 12 2 3 7 -9 9
17 Bochum 12 2 1 9 -21 7
18 Schalke 04 12 1 3 8 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Bayern Munich
12′
J. Musiala 0–1
S. Mané
37′
E. Choupo-Moting 0–2
38′
E. Choupo-Moting 0–3
1–3 D. Lukébakio
M. Richter
40′
Davie Selke ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
43′
2–3 D. Selke
45′
Half-time 2–3
Agustín Rogel ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
57′
W. Kanga 🔁
↦ D. Selke
64′
64′
🔁 K. Coman
↦ S. Mané
64′
🔁 L. Hernández
↦ A. Davies
M. Mittelstädt 🔁
↦ M. Plattenhardt
65′
C. Ejuke 🔁
↦ S. Serdar
65′
75′
🔁 L. Sané
↦ S. Gnabry
M. Maolida 🔁
↦ M. Richter
78′
78′
🔁 M. Sabitzer
↦ L. Goretzka
K. Boateng 🔁
↦ L. Tousart
85′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Hertha

4-4-2
1 O. Christensen G
16 J. Kenny D
3 A. Rogel D
20 M. Kempf D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
23 M. Richter M
29 L. Tousart M
8 S. Serdar M
10 J. Boëtius M
7 D. Selke F
14 D. Lukébakio F
Bench (9)
18 W. Kanga
17 M. Mittelstädt
40 C. Ejuke
11 M. Maolida
27 K. Boateng
5 F. Uremović
34 I. Šunjić
12 T. Ernst
2 P. Pekarík

Coach: S. Schwarz

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
40 N. Mazraoui D
5 B. Pavard D
2 D. Upamecano D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
8 L. Goretzka M
7 S. Gnabry M
42 J. Musiala M
17 S. Mané M
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
Bench (8)
11 K. Coman
21 L. Hernández
10 L. Sané
18 M. Sabitzer
35 J. Schenk
39 M. Tel
26 S. Ulreich
38 R. Gravenberch

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,21
U
6,56
B ✓
1,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,30
U2,5
3,54
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Dankert · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.