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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Hertha
T U T T T
0–1
Full-time
Bayern Munich
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
0,8
3,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,8
This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 48%
21%
74%
Points per game
0,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
63%
84%
Both score Ø 69%
58%
79%
Average goals
3,2
4,4
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 11
6 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 15. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 19 14 3 2 +31 45
2 RB Leipzig 19 11 5 3 +15 38
3 Wolfsburg 19 9 8 2 +11 35
4 Ein Frankfurt 19 8 9 2 +10 33
5 Leverkusen 19 9 5 5 +13 32
6 Dortmund 19 10 2 7 +11 32
7 M'gladbach 19 8 8 3 +7 32
8 Union Berlin 19 7 8 4 +10 29
9 Freiburg 19 7 6 6 +1 27
10 Stuttgart 19 6 7 6 +6 25
11 Werder Bremen 19 5 7 7 -3 22
12 Hoffenheim 19 6 4 9 -5 22
13 Augsburg 19 6 4 9 -10 22
14 FC Koln 19 4 6 9 -14 18
15 Hertha 19 4 5 10 -10 17
16 Bielefeld 19 5 2 12 -17 17
17 Mainz 19 2 4 13 -22 10
18 Schalke 04 19 1 5 13 -34 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Bayern Munich
21′
K. Coman 0–1
T. Müller
31′
🟨 Benjamin Pavard
Vladimír Darida 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
O. Alderete 🔁
↦ J. Torunarigha
46′
M. Guendouzi 🔁
↦ V. Darida
56′
N. Radonjić 🔁
↦ K. Piątek
63′
73′
🔁 Douglas Costa
↦ L. Sané
73′
🔁 C. Tolisso
↦ S. Gnabry
M. Leckie 🔁
↦ D. Lukébakio
81′
S. Khedira 🔁
↦ S. Ascacíbar
81′
86′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ K. Coman
Sami Khedira 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
22 R. Jarstein G
2 P. Pekarík D
5 N. Stark D
25 J. Torunarigha D
17 M. Mittelstädt D
6 V. Darida M
29 L. Tousart M
18 S. Ascacíbar M
11 D. Lukébakio M
9 K. Piątek F
10 Matheus Cunha M
Bench (9)
14 O. Alderete
8 M. Guendouzi
24 N. Radonjić
7 M. Leckie
28 S. Khedira
1 A. Schwolow
13 L. Klünter
31 M. Dárdai
23 E. Löwen

Coach: P. Dárdai

Bayern Munich

4-1-4-1
1 M. Neuer G
27 D. Alaba D
4 N. Süle D
21 L. Hernández D
5 B. Pavard D
6 J. Kimmich M
25 T. Müller M
9 R. Lewandowski F
7 S. Gnabry M
29 K. Coman M
10 L. Sané M
Bench (9)
11 Douglas Costa
24 C. Tolisso
13 E. Choupo-Moting
42 J. Musiala
19 A. Davies
39 R. Hoffmann
22 Marc Roca
17 J. Boateng
20 B. Sarr

Coach: H. Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,09
U
5,57
B ✓
1,38
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,33
U2,5 ✓
3,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.