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Europa League
Referee: G Kabakov
Sociedad
S S T S T
0–1
Full-time
Man United
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
This season — Europa League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 90%
100%
80%
Points per game
3,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 20%
20%
20%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
0,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Sep -22 Man United – Sociedad 0–1

Match report

Sociedad Man United
17′
⚽ A. Garnacho 0–1
Cristiano Ronaldo
Half-time 0–1
Robert Navarro 🔁
↦ Pablo Marín
58′
Elustondo 🔁
↦ Gorosabel
58′
58′
🔁 S. McTominay
↦ V. Lindelöf
58′
🔁 M. Rashford
↦ D. van de Beek
62′
🟨 Lisandro Martínez
Brais Méndez 🟨
64′
71′
🟨 Cristiano Ronaldo
Carlos Fernández 🟨
73′
Guevara 🔁
↦ Carlos Fernández
73′
82′
🔁 H. Maguire
↦ A. Garnacho
82′
🔁 Fred
↦ C. Eriksen
Zubeldia 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
83′
Jon Magunazelaia 🔁
↦ A. Sørloth
83′
87′
🟨 Diogo Dalot
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-1-2
1 Álex Remiro G
18 Gorosabel D
24 R. Le Normand D
20 Jon Pacheco D
15 Diego Rico D
23 Brais Méndez M
3 Martín Zubimendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
42 Pablo Marín M
19 A. Sørloth F
9 Carlos Fernández F
Bench (12)
17 Robert Navarro
6 Elustondo
16 Guevara
5 Zubeldia
34 Jon Magunazelaia
33 Jon Karrikaburu
22 Beñat Turrientes
32 Unai Marrero
13 Andoni Zubiaurre
2 Álex Sola
30 Urko González
4 Illarramendi

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
20 Diogo Dalot D
2 V. Lindelöf D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
23 L. Shaw D
18 Casemiro M
14 C. Eriksen M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
34 D. van de Beek M
49 A. Garnacho M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
Bench (12)
39 S. McTominay
10 M. Rashford
5 H. Maguire
17 Fred
50 R. Vítek
28 F. Pellistri
29 A. Wan-Bissaka
55 Zidane Iqbal
12 T. Malacia
36 A. Elanga
31 M. Dúbravka
47 S. Shoretire

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kabakov · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.