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Bundesliga

Referee: S Stegemann

M'gladbach

T T T U S

1–2

Full-time

Leverkusen

S T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

4,3

5,0

Scored

1,2

2,8

Conceded

3,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 39%

33%

44%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

61%

72%

Both score Ø 70%

67%

72%

Average goals

3,2

4,0

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 29

6 Shots on target 13

9 Blocked shots 8

12 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 12. · Leverkusen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	19	15	1	3	+43	46
2	Dortmund	19	13	1	5	+20	40
3	Hoffenheim	19	9	4	6	+10	31
4	Union Berlin	19	8	7	4	+3	31
5	Freiburg	19	8	6	5	+8	30
6	Leverkusen	18	8	5	5	+12	29
7	RB Leipzig	19	8	4	7	+13	28
8	FC Koln	19	7	7	5	-2	28
9	Mainz	19	8	3	8	+6	27
10	Ein Frankfurt	18	7	6	5	+2	27
11	Bochum	19	7	2	10	-10	23
12	M'gladbach	18	6	4	8	-9	22
13	Hertha	19	6	4	9	-17	22
14	Wolfsburg	19	6	3	10	-13	21
15	Stuttgart	19	4	6	9	-11	18
16	Augsburg	18	4	6	8	-11	18
17	Bielefeld	18	3	8	7	-8	17
18	Greuther Furth	18	1	3	14	-36	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	10	9	0	1	+18	27
2	Bayern Munich	10	8	0	2	+22	24
3	RB Leipzig	10	7	0	3	+16	21
4	Mainz	10	6	3	1	+14	21
5	Union Berlin	10	6	3	1	+5	21
6	Hoffenheim	9	6	2	1	+12	20
7	FC Koln	10	5	3	2	+3	18
8	Bochum	9	5	2	2	+5	17
9	Freiburg	9	4	3	2	+4	15
10	Leverkusen	9	4	2	3	+5	14
11	M'gladbach	8	4	2	2	+1	14
12	Hertha	9	4	2	3	+1	14
13	Ein Frankfurt	9	3	4	2	+3	13
14	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	-3	11
15	Stuttgart	10	3	2	5	-4	11
16	Wolfsburg	10	3	2	5	-6	11
17	Bielefeld	9	1	5	3	-5	8
18	Greuther Furth	9	1	3	5	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	7	1	1	+21	22
2	Leverkusen	9	4	3	2	+7	15
3	Freiburg	10	4	3	3	+4	15
4	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	2	3	-1	14
5	Dortmund	9	4	1	4	+2	13
6	Hoffenheim	10	3	2	5	-2	11
7	Union Berlin	9	2	4	3	-2	10
8	FC Koln	9	2	4	3	-5	10
9	Wolfsburg	9	3	1	5	-7	10
10	Bielefeld	9	2	3	4	-3	9
11	M'gladbach	10	2	2	6	-10	8
12	Hertha	10	2	2	6	-18	8
13	RB Leipzig	9	1	4	4	-3	7
14	Stuttgart	9	1	4	4	-7	7
15	Augsburg	10	1	4	5	-8	7
16	Mainz	9	2	0	7	-8	6
17	Bochum	10	2	0	8	-15	6
18	Greuther Furth	9	0	0	9	-28	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.