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Bundesliga

Referee: D Aytekin

Hoffenheim

S U U S T

2–3

Full-time

Dortmund

U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

100%

83%

Average goals

3,5

4,3

Scored

2,0

2,7

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 58%

47%

68%

Points per game

1,6

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 76%

68%

84%

Both score Ø 71%

58%

84%

Average goals

3,6

4,1

Scored

2,1

2,6

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%

14 Shots 3

2 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 3

5 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 4. · Dortmund 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	19	15	1	3	+43	46
2	Dortmund	19	13	1	5	+20	40
3	Leverkusen	19	9	5	5	+13	32
4	Hoffenheim	19	9	4	6	+10	31
5	Union Berlin	19	8	7	4	+3	31
6	Freiburg	19	8	6	5	+8	30
7	RB Leipzig	19	8	4	7	+13	28
8	Ein Frankfurt	20	7	7	6	+0	28
9	FC Koln	19	7	7	5	-2	28
10	Mainz	19	8	3	8	+6	27
11	Bochum	19	7	2	10	-10	23
12	M'gladbach	19	6	4	9	-10	22
13	Hertha	19	6	4	9	-17	22
14	Bielefeld	20	4	9	7	-6	21
15	Wolfsburg	19	6	3	10	-13	21
16	Augsburg	19	4	7	8	-11	19
17	Stuttgart	19	4	6	9	-11	18
18	Greuther Furth	19	1	4	14	-36	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	10	9	0	1	+18	27
2	Bayern Munich	10	8	0	2	+22	24
3	RB Leipzig	10	7	0	3	+16	21
4	Mainz	10	6	3	1	+14	21
5	Union Berlin	10	6	3	1	+5	21
6	Hoffenheim	9	6	2	1	+12	20
7	FC Koln	10	5	3	2	+3	18
8	Bochum	9	5	2	2	+5	17
9	Freiburg	9	4	3	2	+4	15
10	Leverkusen	9	4	2	3	+5	14
11	Hertha	9	4	2	3	+1	14
12	M'gladbach	9	4	2	3	+0	14
13	Ein Frankfurt	10	3	4	3	+1	13
14	Augsburg	9	3	3	3	-3	12
15	Stuttgart	10	3	2	5	-4	11
16	Wolfsburg	10	3	2	5	-6	11
17	Bielefeld	10	1	6	3	-5	9
18	Greuther Furth	9	1	3	5	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	7	1	1	+21	22
2	Leverkusen	10	5	3	2	+8	18
3	Freiburg	10	4	3	3	+4	15
4	Ein Frankfurt	10	4	3	3	-1	15
5	Dortmund	9	4	1	4	+2	13
6	Bielefeld	10	3	3	4	-1	12
7	Hoffenheim	10	3	2	5	-2	11
8	Union Berlin	9	2	4	3	-2	10
9	FC Koln	9	2	4	3	-5	10
10	Wolfsburg	9	3	1	5	-7	10
11	M'gladbach	10	2	2	6	-10	8
12	Hertha	10	2	2	6	-18	8
13	RB Leipzig	9	1	4	4	-3	7
14	Stuttgart	9	1	4	4	-7	7
15	Augsburg	10	1	4	5	-8	7
16	Mainz	9	2	0	7	-8	6
17	Bochum	10	2	0	8	-15	6
18	Greuther Furth	10	0	1	9	-28	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.