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Bundesliga
Referee: R Hartmann
M'gladbach
S S U S T
5–0
Full-time
Bielefeld
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Bielefeld
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,3
Scored
2,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 32%
37%
27%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
67%
43%
Both score Ø 55%
73%
37%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

63% Possession 37%
20 Shots 9
12 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match M'gladbach 8. · Bielefeld 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 31 22 5 4 +46 71
2 RB Leipzig 31 19 7 5 +30 64
3 Wolfsburg 31 16 9 6 +22 57
4 Ein Frankfurt 31 15 11 5 +15 56
5 Dortmund 31 17 4 10 +24 55
6 Leverkusen 31 14 8 9 +16 50
7 Union Berlin 31 11 13 7 +9 46
8 M'gladbach 30 11 10 9 +8 43
9 Freiburg 30 11 8 11 +2 41
10 Stuttgart 31 10 9 12 +1 39
11 Hoffenheim 31 9 9 13 -5 36
12 Mainz 30 9 7 14 -16 34
13 Augsburg 31 9 6 16 -16 33
14 Werder Bremen 31 7 9 15 -17 30
15 Bielefeld 30 8 6 16 -23 30
16 FC Koln 31 7 8 16 -24 29
17 Hertha 28 6 8 14 -14 26
18 Schalke 04 30 2 7 21 -58 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Jan -21 Bielefeld – M'gladbach 0–1

Match report

M'gladbach Bielefeld
1–0 B. Embolo
S. Lainer
6′
2–0 M. Thuram
H. Wolf
15′
3–0 R. Bensebaini
18′
Valentino Lazaro 🟨
36′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 F. Kunze
↦ M. Okugawa
46′
🔁 A. Voglsammer
↦ F. Klos
52′
🟨 Nathan De Medina
4–0 B. Embolo
D. Zakaria
69′
O. Wendt 🔁
↦ V. Lazaro
75′
C. Kramer 🔁
↦ F. Neuhaus
75′
A. Plea 🔁
↦ M. Thuram
75′
76′
🔁 S. Schipplock
↦ C. Gebauer
5–0 A. Plea
B. Embolo
84′
T. Jantschke 🔁
↦ R. Bensebaini
85′
L. Beyer 🔁
↦ S. Lainer
85′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

M'gladbach

3-4-1-2
1 Y. Sommer G
18 S. Lainer M
28 M. Ginter D
30 N. Elvedi D
25 R. Bensebaini D
19 V. Lazaro M
32 F. Neuhaus M
8 D. Zakaria M
11 H. Wolf F
36 B. Embolo F
10 M. Thuram F
Bench (9)
17 O. Wendt
6 C. Kramer
14 A. Plea
24 T. Jantschke
15 L. Beyer
16 I. Traoré
7 P. Herrmann
23 J. Hofmann
21 T. Sippel

Coach: M. Rose

Bielefeld

4-4-2
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
4 J. Nilsson D
15 N. De Medina D
23 Anderson Lucoqui D
2 A. Pieper D
19 M. Prietl M
7 C. Gebauer M
11 M. Okugawa M
8 R. Doan F
31 A. Maier M
9 F. Klos F
Bench (9)
16 F. Kunze
21 A. Voglsammer
36 S. Schipplock
34 O. Linnér
17 C. Soukou
28 M. Vlap
30 M. Hartel
6 M. van der Hoorn
5 J. Laursen

Coach: F. Kramer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
3,87
B
5,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,14
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Hartmann · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.