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Bundesliga

Referee: S Jablonski

Hoffenheim

S S S S U

1–1

Full-time

M'gladbach

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,2

4,5

Scored

2,5

1,5

Conceded

1,7

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,5

This season — Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 41%

50%

31%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

69%

63%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,1

1,3

Conceded

1,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

21 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

15 Corners 3

6 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 4. · M'gladbach 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	17	14	1	2	+40	43
2	Dortmund	16	11	1	4	+16	34
3	Leverkusen	16	8	4	4	+13	28
4	Hoffenheim	16	8	3	5	+9	27
5	Freiburg	16	7	5	4	+11	26
6	Mainz	16	7	3	6	+9	24
7	Ein Frankfurt	16	6	6	4	+2	24
8	Union Berlin	16	6	6	4	+1	24
9	RB Leipzig	16	6	4	6	+10	22
10	FC Koln	16	5	7	4	-1	22
11	Bochum	16	6	2	8	-9	20
12	Wolfsburg	17	6	2	9	-12	20
13	M'gladbach	16	5	3	8	-10	18
14	Hertha	16	5	3	8	-16	18
15	Stuttgart	16	4	5	7	-8	17
16	Augsburg	16	4	5	7	-9	17
17	Bielefeld	16	2	7	7	-10	13
18	Greuther Furth	16	1	1	14	-36	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	8	0	1	+23	24
2	Dortmund	9	8	0	1	+14	24
3	RB Leipzig	8	6	0	2	+15	18
4	Mainz	9	5	3	1	+13	18
5	Union Berlin	9	5	3	1	+4	18
6	Hoffenheim	7	5	1	1	+10	16
7	FC Koln	8	4	3	1	+6	15
8	Bochum	7	4	2	1	+5	14
9	M'gladbach	8	4	2	2	+1	14
10	Leverkusen	8	4	1	3	+5	13
11	Freiburg	7	3	2	2	+3	11
12	Hertha	7	3	2	2	+2	11
13	Stuttgart	9	3	2	4	-2	11
14	Augsburg	8	3	2	3	-3	11
15	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	4	1	+3	10
16	Wolfsburg	9	3	1	5	-6	10
17	Bielefeld	9	1	5	3	-5	8
18	Greuther Furth	7	1	1	5	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	8	6	1	1	+17	19
2	Leverkusen	8	4	3	1	+8	15
3	Freiburg	9	4	3	2	+8	15
4	Ein Frankfurt	9	4	2	3	-1	14
5	Hoffenheim	9	3	2	4	-1	11
6	Dortmund	7	3	1	3	+2	10
7	Wolfsburg	8	3	1	4	-6	10
8	FC Koln	8	1	4	3	-7	7
9	Hertha	9	2	1	6	-18	7
10	Union Berlin	7	1	3	3	-3	6
11	Mainz	7	2	0	5	-4	6
12	Stuttgart	7	1	3	3	-6	6
13	Augsburg	8	1	3	4	-6	6
14	Bochum	9	2	0	7	-14	6
15	Bielefeld	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	RB Leipzig	8	0	4	4	-5	4
17	M'gladbach	8	1	1	6	-11	4
18	Greuther Furth	9	0	0	9	-28	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.