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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Valencia

U U T U T

2–0

Full-time

Villarreal

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 24%

27%

20%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

64%

50%

Both score Ø 62%

73%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

25% Possession 75%

9 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

7 Corners 6

4 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 11. · Villarreal 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	7	3	1	+14	24
2	Sevilla	11	7	3	1	+12	24
3	Sociedad	11	7	3	1	+7	24
4	Betis	11	6	3	2	+7	21
5	Vallecano	11	6	1	4	+6	19
6	Ath Madrid	10	5	4	1	+5	19
7	Osasuna	12	5	4	3	-1	19
8	Ath Bilbao	10	4	5	1	+4	17
9	Barcelona	10	4	3	3	+4	15
10	Espanol	11	3	5	3	+0	14
11	Valencia	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Mallorca	11	3	4	4	-6	13
13	Villarreal	10	2	6	2	+3	12
14	Celta	11	3	1	7	-4	10
15	Elche	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Alaves	10	3	0	7	-8	9
17	Granada	10	1	5	4	-6	8
18	Cadiz	11	1	5	5	-8	8
19	Levante	11	0	6	5	-9	6
20	Getafe	11	0	3	8	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Vallecano	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Barcelona	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Sociedad	5	4	1	0	+4	13
5	Betis	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Espanol	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Mallorca	6	2	3	1	+1	9
10	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+8	8
11	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+4	8
12	Valencia	5	2	2	1	+3	8
13	Elche	6	1	4	1	+0	7
14	Osasuna	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	Alaves	6	2	0	4	-5	6
16	Granada	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Levante	5	0	4	1	-2	4
18	Celta	6	1	0	5	-5	3
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	-5	3
20	Getafe	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	Osasuna	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Sociedad	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Betis	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Sevilla	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Celta	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Ath Bilbao	5	1	4	0	+1	7
9	Cadiz	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Valencia	6	1	2	3	-4	5
11	Villarreal	5	0	4	1	-1	4
12	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
13	Mallorca	5	1	1	3	-7	4
14	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Alaves	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Granada	5	0	3	2	-5	3
17	Elche	6	1	0	5	-6	3
18	Barcelona	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Levante	6	0	2	4	-7	2
20	Getafe	6	0	2	4	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.